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Stockchase Opinions

Stan WongJD.com IncJDHOLDJun 24, 2021

China e-commerce space, second largest after BABA according to market cap. Don't sell at this stage. Regulatory and political risk has pushed stocks down, plus move away from growth to value. Tremendous long runway for growth. Growing middle class, urbanization. Kind of pricey, but 30% earnings growth rate.

$74.49

Stock price when the opinion was issued

$28.56

As of Jun 12, 2026. Market Open.

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DON'T BUY

he avoids all Chinese stocks because of regulatory risk, interference from Beijing who could change the rules anytime. Policy flip-flops. Even buying a Chinese stock on an American exchange risks that stock being delisted,.

TRADE
China's fiscal policy

Yesterday, China did a smart thing by cutting their federal funds rate by 50 basis points. This is gigantic and has impact, by making their economy--and stocks--stronger. Also, he suggests they reign in their real estate industry. China has to do something to revive its economy. Also, both US candidates in this election year will bash China. Given all this, he's changed his mind about Chinese stocks and recommends Baidu, Alibaba, Pinduoduo and JD.com. They are very cheap and are real businesses. Also, they are recognized internationally. No, he won't buy them, because he doesn't trade, but if he did trade, he would.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 24/20, Down 1%) He got out of all his Chinese investments. You could feel the temperature rising, as the government wants to flex its muscle. The stock's actually hung in, pretty impressive. Price target of $102, not much runway. Scale, margin expansion, valuation has a good runway. You could buy in thirds at $89, 84, 80.
HOLD
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks It's a similar story with JD.com, the second-biggest player in China's e-commerce after Alibaba. JD does benefit from living in the shadow of Alibaba and doesn't suffer negative headlines or government meddling to the same extent. Over the past 12 months, JD.com has risen about 8.6%, while BABA has sank nearly 23%. (Year-to-date BABA stock edges out JD stock by -16.65% to -18.67%.) Also, JD.com trades at a 13.65x PE vs. Alibaba's 22.94x. Read Are these 3 Chinese stocks still worth buying? for our full analysis.
BUY

They report Thursday. It's one of the few Chinese stocks he like, the Amazon of China.

WATCH
They had a great quarter. US relations with China will be smoother, which is a tailwind. He's warming up to this stock.
TOP PICK

Chinese online retailer. Like Amazon, because they have their own branded products. Heavily invested in drone delivery. Scale advantage, clear margin expansion profile, growing valuation of subsidiaries. His price target is $101. Suggests buying in stages at $87, $72, and $60. No dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $99.01)

WATCH

Competes with Alibaba (which owns 66% of China e-commerce) and JD follows at 24%. It has been growing market share. He owns Alibaba instead. He targets $85.50. This has legs and he watches it.

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BUY ON WEAKNESS

Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly An e-commerce business in the country with the largest population on the planet. They are the second largest e-commerce company in China. Revenues were up 34% in Q2 hitting $9.1 billion. They have a strong logistics network and also offer cloud business and digital healthcare. The company is also forming strong partnerships, including Chinese based Tencent and Walmart. Barclay's just upgraded the stock to an $83 target. The stock had a great runup on the recent earnings report, so we would look to buy on a pullback towards $73. Yield 0%

COMMENT

JD vs. BABA Took profits in BABA about a month ago. He doesn't have any names from Asia-Pacific right now. Between the two, BABA is the larger name and cheaper PEG, but wait a bit more. Choose something on the US side that's been beaten up.

COMMENT
Alibaba vs JD vs Tencent? He never made any money on Chinese stocks and would not recommend any of these three. Would recommend Google or Facebook. All great companies growing within the Chinese market but doesn't think retail invetors in North America have to be there.
BUY
They're China's biggest retailer. The government is focusing on the domestic consumer, so JD will do well.
DON'T BUY
Bullish on EMs. You want to be invested in luxury goods, but when he looks at these companies, he can't make heads or tails of their financials. Plus, you're investing in China. So his way is to invest in good-quality North American or European companies that have exposure to China, without taking on the risk.
COMMENT
He likes this name. It is the 2nd largest ecommerce company in China after Alibaba. It has a 30% long term growth rate. It recently pushed above its 200 day average in the last couple of months. He owns Alibaba instead. However, if trade war persists, could have a negative effect on this name.