Stockchase Opinions

Kim Bolton JD.com Inc JD-Q TOP PICK Nov 24, 2020

Chinese online retailer. Like Amazon, because they have their own branded products. Heavily invested in drone delivery. Scale advantage, clear margin expansion profile, growing valuation of subsidiaries. His price target is $101. Suggests buying in stages at $87, $72, and $60. No dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $99.01)

$88.945

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly An e-commerce business in the country with the largest population on the planet. They are the second largest e-commerce company in China. Revenues were up 34% in Q2 hitting $9.1 billion. They have a strong logistics network and also offer cloud business and digital healthcare. The company is also forming strong partnerships, including Chinese based Tencent and Walmart. Barclay's just upgraded the stock to an $83 target. The stock had a great runup on the recent earnings report, so we would look to buy on a pullback towards $73. Yield 0%

WATCH

Competes with Alibaba (which owns 66% of China e-commerce) and JD follows at 24%. It has been growing market share. He owns Alibaba instead. He targets $85.50. This has legs and he watches it.

WATCH
They had a great quarter. US relations with China will be smoother, which is a tailwind. He's warming up to this stock.
BUY

They report Thursday. It's one of the few Chinese stocks he like, the Amazon of China.

HOLD

China e-commerce space, second largest after BABA according to market cap. Don't sell at this stage. Regulatory and political risk has pushed stocks down, plus move away from growth to value. Tremendous long runway for growth. Growing middle class, urbanization. Kind of pricey, but 30% earnings growth rate.

HOLD
Allan Tong’s Discover Picks It's a similar story with JD.com, the second-biggest player in China's e-commerce after Alibaba. JD does benefit from living in the shadow of Alibaba and doesn't suffer negative headlines or government meddling to the same extent. Over the past 12 months, JD.com has risen about 8.6%, while BABA has sank nearly 23%. (Year-to-date BABA stock edges out JD stock by -16.65% to -18.67%.) Also, JD.com trades at a 13.65x PE vs. Alibaba's 22.94x. Read Are these 3 Chinese stocks still worth buying? for our full analysis.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Nov 24/20, Down 1%) He got out of all his Chinese investments. You could feel the temperature rising, as the government wants to flex its muscle. The stock's actually hung in, pretty impressive. Price target of $102, not much runway. Scale, margin expansion, valuation has a good runway. You could buy in thirds at $89, 84, 80.
TRADE
China's fiscal policy

Yesterday, China did a smart thing by cutting their federal funds rate by 50 basis points. This is gigantic and has impact, by making their economy--and stocks--stronger. Also, he suggests they reign in their real estate industry. China has to do something to revive its economy. Also, both US candidates in this election year will bash China. Given all this, he's changed his mind about Chinese stocks and recommends Baidu, Alibaba, Pinduoduo and JD.com. They are very cheap and are real businesses. Also, they are recognized internationally. No, he won't buy them, because he doesn't trade, but if he did trade, he would.

DON'T BUY

he avoids all Chinese stocks because of regulatory risk, interference from Beijing who could change the rules anytime. Policy flip-flops. Even buying a Chinese stock on an American exchange risks that stock being delisted,.