Stockchase Opinions

Noah Blackstein, B.A., CFA Intel INTC-Q DON'T BUY Apr 10, 2002

Expects a PC refresh cycle by the end of the year. Wait
$29.260

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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DON'T BUY

He doesn't like its long-term downtrend. At these levels, issue is with the broader semiconductor space. We're late in the cycle, so semis are at risk.

DON'T BUY
Investor is underwater.

Don't ever be anchored to what you paid for a stock; otherwise, it makes you behave badly. 

Dislikes it because they didn't fix their manufacturing, or outsource it, and now they're a couple of generations behind the likes of TSM. Until they change strategy they'll just keep pouring capex into manufacturing, and returns won't be good. 

HOLD

Controversial name. Rallied recently, takeover and breakup speculation. If you still own it, worth hanging on to for a potential event leading to more upside. 

HOLD

Might be carved up, looking for new CEO. 12-month price target of $27.50. On the foundry side, competing with TSM which has very deep pockets and a 55% market share. It's still in play, so he still owns it.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 08/24, Down 43%)

Terrible result. One out of every 20 stocks is going to hit you in the head. You want a stock like this in a non-registered account, so you can sell it for the capital loss. Market still believes in 78% EPS growth from here. He's holding.

SELL

They missed the mobile ecosystem. ARM Holdings has killed them every since. Intel is in terminal decline, no growth and will be taken out by somebody. Maybe take your losses.

DON'T BUY

"A day late and a dollar short." Missed the boat, hard to catch up. Got into AI belatedly. Not much is happening. All the chip producers are coming down. Not even a trade anymore.

DON'T BUY

It might have been the biggest winner of the last president's chips act to stimulate U.S. semi manufacturing by getting part of a $7.86 billion grant. Will Intel get more money from Washington? Intel carries $46 billion in long-term loans, so Intel needs the money badly. It's shocking that Intel shares aren't even lower.

TRADE
Take the $$ and run?

Has made no money for investors for 30 years, unless you were a trader. Loved it below $20. Trimming here ~$25. At $35, he'll trim again. If it gets above $40, he'll probably be out.

WEAK BUY

Stock's gone nowhere for over a decade -- lost leadership on manufacturing and on design. US administrations have been pushing manufacturing back to the US, which makes INTC interesting. New, very technically capable, CEO; this is encouraging, though nothing will happen immediately.