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Iron Bridge Resources Inc.IBR.TOTOP PICKNov 05, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Nov 09, 2018. Market Open.
A Montney player with a lot of elements for a good potential story. Feels there is a lot of upside, especially with the Waskahigan play. With all these small gas companies, liquidity is a problem. This one has a pretty low debt to cash flow, but the room they have in their lines is somewhat limited. She would like to see it through another credit facility valuation, and that will be coming quite soon for a lot of these companies. Once you are quite certain that the liquidity is there, it would be a good entry point. It is worth a small turn at these prices.
The stock has fallen off quite dramatically because they missed on expectations when gas was found in their Arctic Creek play, which the market was not expecting. Exposed to the Waskahigan play, which is doing quite well and thinks they will continue to do quite well in that area. They have a play where she expects they will direct a lot of their attention. Bank will be going through their bank line soon, so wait to see what the bank does.
There are ongoing questions around their primary asset in terms of declines, oil ratios and water cuts. This has been establishing a position, believed to be an oily part of the Montney play. You are kind of relying on that next property working. It is a name that will perennially be cheap as people are uncertain of the viability of their existing asset. Also, the population and the people that are interested in these small “small cap” oil stocks are a 10th of what it was 10 years ago. There are just not enough guys that care about these names.
An infrastructure story that is going to grow from 9000 to 15,000 by the end of 2015, because of a battery they just built. They have been gas plant constrained, which will get done for the 1st quarter next year, and will grow to 22,000 BOE's for next year and going into free cash flow multiple generation.