Stock price when the opinion was issued
There are ongoing questions around their primary asset in terms of declines, oil ratios and water cuts. This has been establishing a position, believed to be an oily part of the Montney play. You are kind of relying on that next property working. It is a name that will perennially be cheap as people are uncertain of the viability of their existing asset. Also, the population and the people that are interested in these small “small cap” oil stocks are a 10th of what it was 10 years ago. There are just not enough guys that care about these names.
The stock has fallen off quite dramatically because they missed on expectations when gas was found in their Arctic Creek play, which the market was not expecting. Exposed to the Waskahigan play, which is doing quite well and thinks they will continue to do quite well in that area. They have a play where she expects they will direct a lot of their attention. Bank will be going through their bank line soon, so wait to see what the bank does.
A Montney player with a lot of elements for a good potential story. Feels there is a lot of upside, especially with the Waskahigan play. With all these small gas companies, liquidity is a problem. This one has a pretty low debt to cash flow, but the room they have in their lines is somewhat limited. She would like to see it through another credit facility valuation, and that will be coming quite soon for a lot of these companies. Once you are quite certain that the liquidity is there, it would be a good entry point. It is worth a small turn at these prices.
(A Top Pick Nov 5/14. Down 77.16%.) This has been in a deep dive, especially over the last 4 months. People have concerns about the depth of inventory and how long can they go with it.