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NYSE:IBN
Kind of a proxy on the Bombay Stock exchange. Had some problems a few years ago with regards to its loan loss provisions having a higher default and higher delinquency on some of its credit card holdings. Has turned back brilliantly in the last 2 years. They have been able to control their loan loss provisions very well. A good entry point for someone who wants to have a play in consumers and on the markets in general.
Continues to do fantastically well, in particular with their insurance arm. What this bank has going against it in the short term is that Fed tapering will continue to have an adverse effect on many emerging markets, particularly those that have huge current account deficits, and India is a poster child for this. Also inflation in India is super high, which has led their central bank to hike interest rates. Normally this is not a bad thing for banks because they can get higher margins but to the extent that the Indian economy is decelerating, that puts a dampener on their deposit growth. Try to get something in the mid-$20s. Will be very volatile.
Feels the Indian financial market is slowly being deregulated, which is helpful. This bank won’t have as many products as our banks so there is room to expand. The issue you have with all of this is that they are highly volatile, so you need a 5 or 10 year view on emerging markets. Owning this over a long period of time will be very rewarding. As an alternative, you could own an ETF which would give you a broader market.
Banks are a proxy or a way to play the underlying growth of an economy. He is not very overweight on Indian banks, but because of the currency drop, there are some very good opportunities in India. Not sure the banking sector is the best one. Probably some of the industrials would be better in India.
May not be his first choice in India, but you won’t go wrong. They had some issues last year with credit quality and it was concerning, but they are certainly growing loans.