Stockchase Opinions

Jim Cramer - Mad MoneyHewlett-Packard CoHPQBUY ON WEAKNESSMay 24, 2024

It's not Dell. But they have the new AI PC. Should do well next quarter, not this one.

$32.75

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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COMMENT

Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy's most-liked answers from 5i Research

HPQ appears deeply undervalued, but it is increasingly showing signs of becoming a value trap. Growth prospects are limited, and leverage is somewhat higher than they would prefer. The company is also facing margin pressure from rising input costs, including memory. While the dividend remains well covered with a payout ratio of just 33%, the combination of weak growth and negative share price momentum keeps them cautious on the stock. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

TOP PICK

Not flashy. Iconic brand, huge market share. Trades at less than 7x forward PE. Maybe the business doesn't grow a lot, and maybe there isn't a huge upgrade cycle. But if it can increase margins by only 1%, could add $500M-$1B to bottom line. 

Bought back almost half stock in last 10 years; if they do that again, EPS will more than double. Pay-while-you-wait. Lots of upside and margin of safety. Yield is 6.21%.

(Analysts’ price target is $24.55)
DON'T BUY

It reports Tuesday. HP is hostage to commodity prices and won't make their targets

DON'T BUY

He doesn't like the PC business, and 3D printing won't move the needle for them.

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TOP PICK

HP Inc. is an information technology company, which engages in the provision of personal computing and other access devices, imaging and printing products, and related technologies, solutions, and services. It operates through the following segments: Personal Systems, Printing, and Corporate Investments. The Personal Systems segment offers commercial and consumer desktop and notebook personal computers, workstations, thin clients, commercial tablets and mobility devices, retail point-of-sale systems, displays and other related accessories, software, support, and services for the commercial and consumer markets.

SELL

The AI PC has disappointed--he expected it to mean more and doesn't expect it to. There are better stocks out there, despite a low 9x PE and 3.64% dividend. Shares are -8% the past month. Nothing will move the needle here.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

They surprised people with that offering, but shares are cheap now at $17.

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TOP PICK

HP trades at 11.83x compared to Dell’s 28x. It also pays a 3.18% dividend vs. Dell’s 1.28%. Though the two companies make up half the market’s PC sales, HP says its new line of AI PC’s won’t make a dent in their earnings until the second half of 2024 and particularly 2025. The company’s Q2 total revenue for was $12.8 billion, down slightly from last year's $12.91 billion, but better than the $12.59 billion the street expected.

BUY

They lead the coming new cycle in PCS, driven by AI. HP unveiled its line of AI PCs 3 weeks ago, then reported a great quarter. Shares are up 20% in the past month.

BUY

Yesterday, they reported a fantastic quarter, making it clear that the build-out of data centres is not done and in fact are in the early innings of AI.

BUY

HP jumped 30% in May after unveiling a new line of AI PCs--and there's a PC refresh cycle coming fueled by AI. HP could be the first. Also, HP delivered an earnings beat last week.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Feb 22/23, Up 6%)

Pivoting into the networking space. Buying Juniper Networks. Own it here, south of $28, and just below $27.

BUY

They just reported, up 15% this year so far. But the quarter was mixed though mostly beat expectations: sales were a tad light, earnings beat though, excellent cash flow, good operating margin and raised their full-year forecast.

TOP PICK

Imaging and printing, personal computing, SaaS. Proceeds from SHOP and NVDA were used to buy this one. Reminds him of ORCL. Strong cashflows, mature business, stable market share, returning significant amounts back to shareholders, progress on efficiencies. Attractive PE in mid-teens. Price target of $39.50. Different from HPE stock. Yield is 3.59%.

(Analysts’ price target is $29.30)