Stockchase Opinions

James Telfser Horizon North Logistics HNL-T PAST TOP PICK Apr 24, 2018

(A Past Top Pick on January 12, 2017, Up 27%) They make modular housing, best known around the Oil Sands. Affordable housing is an issue around Canada and a tailwind, and HNL can build condos, apartments and hotels quickly. The stock has had a big move off the lows, but likes this stock a lot.

$2.350

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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BUY

Very good looking chart in a good up trend. He has had good success trading this in the past. The uptrend today looks sustainable. A small company, so be careful on holding only a small position. He would use $2.35 as a stop.

BUY

Their original business was to build houses for oil and gas business. They have diversified to construction houses. The biggest upside is if liquid gas projects get sanctioned here they have a good chance to get a contract on that. A good little business. Good upside. (Analysts’ price target is $3.31)

WATCH

It is too early for this sector, the oil rally has not been sustained long enough yet. Any LNG project would help, but has not yet been confirmed. It is not as bad as it was before, just not good enough to enter back into yet.

TOP PICK

They had already had a run up ahead of the announcement for west coast LNG. He thinks this company has the most immediate upside potential due to its link to camps and catering. They will be building modular homes, buildings and other structures and have a good land holding to develop a great growth strategy near Kitimat. Yield 2.6%. (Analysts’ price target is $3.56)

BUY
They provide camps and catering to oil and gas projects. They are a major player in a new project that has not even started. He still likes it and it is one of his top ideas. Anywhere here is a good entry point.
WATCH
Interesting. If we see a better regulatory environment in oil, then a services company like this will be a good buy.
BUY
Work Camp Providers. You have to take a long time horizon with it. As LNG becomes a real thing it will benefit them over 3-4 years, trickling in over time. They also do prefab homes. This is a solution for affordable housing. These stocks had a punishment at the end of last year. He thinks they will get back over $2 this year. You could potentially get a doubling in the stock price.
BUY
Horizon North Logistics vs. Black Diamond Had both on his watch list. In December he bought BDI after talking to management and following the company for a long time. BDI: Smart management who have paid down a lot of their debt. Well-positioned in mobile homes for oil/gas industry and other applications. Tremendous upside. HNL is also good, but he prefers BDI.
WATCH
It's on his watch list, but he prefers--and bought--a peer that he will name later. He needs to take a closer look at this. A possible buy. Rising oil prices will encourage buying.
PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Oct 03/18, Down 68%) A play on LNG, that is still possible. Modular work camps and homes. He still owns a bit of it and still deciding what to do. He is concerned about the growth in debt.