Robert Floyd
Gerdau Ameristeel Corp
GNA-T
WAIT
Oct 30, 2008
Steels are basically cyclicals and you want to be out of them at the top of the market and buying when the economy starts to pick up. Earnings can come down substantially as demand for the product drops. Another big influence is dumping of steel. Would probably Buy as we progress through this slowdown.
Steel. Has started a new major up leg having made a congestive area and the stock is on the break up. Above the 200 day moving average. Fantastic stock.
A stimulus play. You can get a lot of alpha out of this play if there continues to be a lot of stimulus money going into the economy. Try to get it below $8.
One of the few plays left to play pure steel stocks in North America. Global player. Would be cautious on steel companies today because of the significant ramp up of production in China while prices have been pretty well flat. Demand could be down because of economies. Earnings coming out on Nov 5.
Recent quarter was okay but is a little concerned about the space. Import battles are starting between countries. Utilization rates for steel mills in the US are well below what is appropriate for making good money. A lot of hype about infrastructure spending but state and local spending are going down.
Structural steel and construction industry in North America has been in a downturn over the last couple of years. There are some early signs that we may have hit the bottom. If you're horizon is 12-24 months, you can buy, otherwise he would wait.
(A Top Pick Oct 2/09. Down 8.4%.) A higher torque name, which puts a little spice in your portfolio and is part of the infrastructure story. Still a Buy.