VanEck Gold Miners ETFGDXTOP PICKAug 15, 2012Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 27, 2026. Market Open.
Gold is now trading pretty soberly on price to NAV. If you believe that the USD is eventually going to put in a high here and gold will start to assert itself (and that's the better view), then you can buy gold stocks here. Gold stocks can be fickle. Upcoming quarter may see margins pinched a bit due to higher costs, but that's already reflected in the price.
Gold remains in an uptrend, past his target of $2600. He's a big fan of the Commitment of Traders data from the Chicago Board of Trade, which comes out weekly on Fridays at 3:30 pm. Commercial traders continue to reduce exposure on the way up. Though gold can push higher, we're getting to the end of this move in the intermediate term.
We've had a good move, but he's cautious at current levels. Vulnerable to at least a near-term correction. Some charts look great, such as OR, AGI, and WPM, and he'd gravitate toward those.
(A Top Pick Jun22/12. Down 1.86%.) (Actually bought this around July 23rd.) Gold stocks should now take off because of seasonal factors. Seasonality will last at least until the beginning of October. In order to go into a seasonal trade like this, it has to be outperforming the market and also has to move above its 20 day moving average, which it did at around the end of July. Will probably add to this on any kind of weakness. You could use the Canadian equivalent iShares S&P/TSX Global Gold (XGD-T). The whole sector looks interesting from the end of July until the end of September.