GEAC Computer (GAC.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

GEAC Computer (GAC.TO)

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DON'T BUY

Have not bought any recently. $12.50 target price in the short term by a couple of brokers. New York company Crescendo took a 5% interest in the company with a view to shake up management.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Apr 14/05. Up 6.5%.) Continues to do well.

TOP PICK

Had a pretty good year, but a lot of people still don't like it. 8 X earnings. $2 a share in cash. Revenue decline has stopped. Cash flow is pouring in. Starting to cross sell their customers different products. Turning around and the underlying earnings power is much higher than what the street thinks.

DON'T BUY

Had done little better than he expected. He always thought it had a natural cap around $10. Still not one of his favourites because a lot of their products are old products.

BUY

Price target on the fundamentals is $12/12.50 based on $0.90 to $1 makes it relatively cheap. No debt. Also have around $1/1.50 cash per share.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Selling at a pretty low P/E. Earns anywhere from $0.80 to $1. By far the cheapest of the software companies. Haven't bought it since it went through $10. On a pullback below $10 would be buyers.

DON'T BUY

Looks cheap with 9 X trailing earnings, but you look at that business software/services state, it is consolidating rapidly. You want to participate in the leaders. This may be what the market is saying. What will sustain them? Nothing compelling about this stock.

TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Feb 11/05. Up 5%.) Have hired new sales people to focus on license growth. Low PE stock. 3 month earnings revision up about 3%. Year-over-year earnings were up about 9%. Earnings are expected to grow on April/04 from $0.75 to $0.99 which is about a 32% earnings growth.

WEAK BUY

A cash flow story and the market is looking for cash flow, so it has done well. Not buying anything in the technology area because the market doesn't seem to be rewarding well for it. This stock has acted really well compared to the rest of the sector.

BUY

Has been very pleased with its behaviour. Stock has just broken into new recovery high territory. Technically, a very interesting story. Had a big selloff in 2000. Had a normal kneejerk reaction, finished that and now is in a new all time channel territory. Current upside target is $12, maybe going to $13

BUY

Can't see any more upside. Earnings growth has flattened out.

WEAK BUY

Getting close to his target so not buying any more at this time. At 12/13 X earnings it is cheap.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Volatile, Buy on dips. Legacy product not enough to propel stock.

BUY

Took it off the BUY list when it went through $10, but it is now back on the BUY list. The cheapest among all the software companies. Management is buying stock.

TOP PICK

Earnings estimates have gone up by 7% in the last 90 days.

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GEAC Computer (GAC.TO)