First Solar Inc.FSLRPARTIAL BUYJul 12, 2021Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 08, 2026. Market Open.
The US is pushing away from solar energy. He bought it because they were a US-domestic supplier of panels. There was an oversupply in China which drove prices down. He was counting on the domestic supplier being protected from foreign producers. This didn't happen. Today, there is a Senate proposal to end tax incentives for solar, and those shares are sliding. He sold shares in February--he saw it coming. It's hard to admit defeat, but you have to.
Was a past pick of his. Shares have been bumpy for fears that Trump will impose tariffs on solar panels and he doesn't like green energy, though there's bi-partisan support for solar energy. FSLR is the only real option for the US, so FSLR is a fine position. Shares will be bumpy thought. Buy for the long term.
EPS of $3.25 beat estimates of $2.66; revenue of $1.01B beat estimates of $940M. Guidance was for EPS $13.00 to $14.00 (unchanged), vs estimates $13.60. It was a good quarter, and the company remains debt-free with $1.2B cash and strong EPS growth prospects over the next two years. However, election uncertainty does seem to be impacting customer bookings, and this may hurt the next two quarters until solar policies are clarified. But fundamentals ex-this factor are quite good, and it remains the leader in the sector, for sure.
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Up 54% in May, the S&P's top performer. His favourite solar play because it's profitable and the largest US manufacturer with lots of exposure in industrial-scale projects. They reported a monster earnings beat, but were greatly help by Biden announcing tariffs of China's solar cells. This stock has more room to run.
Demand for solar power and their stocks enjoy huge tailwings. ESG is one. Companies like Blackrock and Exxon Mobil are making ESG a serious priority, for example. Secondly, out electric grid is falling apart. Witness the Texas outage last winer. Third, new homeowners are happy to add solar panels to their roofs as prices of panels keep plunging. Fourth, governments are supporting solar panels more and more; for example, the federal government is offering tax credits, and Biden wants to extend the solar tax credit by 10 years. Also, Biden has slapped tariffs on foreign panels, and the American industry is divided over this. One of his three favourite solar stocks is First Solar. FS makes its own panels and proprietary technology. They're sold out for 2021 and nearly for 2022. They have an excellent balance and trades at 21x earnings. You can buy a partial position write now or buy on dips.