Stock price when the opinion was issued
A major holding. It yields 9%, which is defendable even at lower oil prices. It's a royalty company, so there's no exploration risk. They have expanded into the US; hopes their next quarter shows US stability. They have done accretive deals in the US and are expanding in the Permian, because there is less room in Canada. Expect modest capital appreciation, but you get a stable 9% dividend. Good for income investors.
Small position for her, actively traded. Energy royalties are still a steady play. A mid-tier champ. Zero operational risk. Dividend hike, so she doesn't see it being cut. Yield is ~8.5%. Oil above $70 keeps royalty cash flowing. Drop in crude price or a global demand wobble would impact it. Value of 10/10, fundamentals 10/10.
(Analysts’ price target is $17.00)We would consider FRU a decent royalty company. Payout ratio is 66% and the balance sheet is decent Debt is barely 1X cash flow. There is cyclical risk here and the dividend has been cut in other cycles. But barring further declines in commodity prices, the dividend is probably secure for a while. The stock is reasonably cheap, for a royalty company and we think it is decently managed. We would be OK owning this for a sector investor looking primarily for income. The last quarter was good.
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Most of these types of stocks in the context of today’s natural gas prices and western Canadian oil prices, are distributing more than they should. In his view, the dividend is too high and will likely be right sized to reflect the current reality of a $20 spread under WTI and a discounted AACO (?) relative to NYMX on natural gas.