Stockchase Opinions

Eric Nuttall Fairborne Energy Trust FEL.UN-T SHORT Jul 16, 2012

Up for sale. There is so much product on the market now that this will be difficult. Debt is much higher than what he is comfortable with.
$1.720

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas
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COMMENT
There is a little bit of support building at around $2.50. The downtrend has been broken. From the risk/reward point of view he would want to buy with Stop at around $2.40. If this breaks upwards with some volume, $3.50 then $4 he would continue adding but continue to move your Stop up. Would prefer Talisman (TLM-T).
RISKY
He likes selling tax losers in April/May. His partner has this one as a speculative buy. Hopefully they get a bidding war going but it is not certain that will happen.
COMMENT
Doesn’t see any immediate concern. Can’t see any funding problems. The smaller size and macro issues are the only concerns.
HOLD
This company is up for sale but the challenge is that there is so much product on the market. Debt situation is much higher than what he is comfortable with.
DON'T BUY

Haven’t been a very strong operator. Sold Belly River assets to DeeThree (DTX-T) who were able to make money off this play. Have sold the balance of their gas assets to Bonavista (BNP-T) so they are left with the Cardium play. This is more of a “show me” story and she needs to see them execute on whatever they have left.

COMMENT

Hasn’t owned this one for a while as she was concerned about high debt levels. Now sold off some assets to bring down their debt level. In the last couple of months she has seen a little bit of the energy sector start to perk up. A lot of people have been disappointed because of the weakness in the energy space since 2008 and she is now seen a little bit of excitement. If that happens, that will drive this company prices more so in the next few months. On the right track, but it could take a little bit of time. If you own and you think energy prices will be going up, consider Selling for tax loss purposes.

BUY

Has a huge respect for management. Sold off some of their assets, which was good, because they got rid of a bunch of debt. Feels they have some spectacular assets in west central Alberta.

BUY

Exceptional project and they are in the way of some big companies. They are good operators. In an area where they can show their brilliance. Players in the area want to own more.

HOLD

Company was forced to do some rather draconian things because it needed to clean up its balance sheet, so it sold a big asset. Stock has been quite buoyant lately because of their liquids rich natural gas play. Their assets, in the heart of a play that is largely governed by bigger companies, are quite attractive. Thinks there is still more upside in the stock.