Mark Jackson, CFAFalconbridge LtdFAL.TOTOP PICKNov 15, 2005
Likes the company on its own, but it's also being in the midst of a takover. Really likes the Inco (N-T) Falconbridge combination in terms of cost savings. Creates a fairly large Canadian nickel producer which could be a potential take out target. Also thinks there's potential upside in commodity price.
(A Top Pick Aug 25/05. Up 124%.) Had chosen it on the expectation the nickel market would tighten up, which it did. Now looking for junior companies with producing assets.
(A Top Pick Oct 19/05. Up 84%.) Was incredibly cheap and thought he could make a good grinding rate of return. He also hoped that the nickel market might get tight. Was taken out.
The chance of them not getting taken over is almost zero. If you own, you might consider taking some profit now and holding on to some and see what might come out of the woodwork.
Given that the market thinks there are 2/3 bidders out there, if you own you may be playing around with the last couple of dollars. Consider selling half a position.