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Delphi Energy Corp.DEE.TOBUYMay 21, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of May 21, 2020. Market Open.
A Montney producer that has a deal with Repsol, where they got money from the government to help pay down debt. Now they are drilling together in some of the best lands that they have, in the Western part of the play. The wells that are coming out are fabulous. The problem is, they have 4 or 5 wells that they should be bringing on stream in Q2, but as a smaller company, getting access to the frac units is difficult. The stock is getting very cheap. He has a conservative BV of $.98. The balance sheet is in much better shape with $153 million in equity. The bank debt is $25 million and they have a million dollars in senior secured notes. They have a history of being a very good hedger. The low in 2016 was $0.22 and the high was $1.79 this year. If this gets below $1, he thinks it is a table pounding buy. This could get taken over because of their land position.
A small-cap that has been around for 12-14 years. They have a good quality asset with improving well results. They have an exploration well that is academically intriguing. Has always been challenged with such a small company drilling such expensive wells where the concentration risk is so high. The CEO left unexpectedly which makes him a little nervous. Also, the valuation is not compelling enough for him to get excited.
(A Top Pick April 6/15. Down 32.4%.) Natural gas producer in the Montney. Very well-run. Likes the story longer-term. This could be a $3-$4 stock again, but the problem is low natural gas prices. They are managing themselves frugally for these tough times. A name that you want to buy on weakness. If they got back down in the low $1 range, it would be a great buy for small-cap investors.
A major holding for him. Management has done a great job of de-levering the company, not issuing a lot of shares and keeping the share count low. Stock has doubled over the last year. Still feels the stock is worth $4+ in the right environment, which is what we are in right now with gas at $4.50. Still has room to run over the next 12 months.