Stock price when the opinion was issued
Just got their banking license which allows them to expand and deal more with the chartered banks on currency exchange. That is where their big business is. It has taken a little longer for it to get integrated into the growth mode, so you are seeing a little fatigue by investors, who waited for a long time for the license to come through. Their retail business is not their main focus or the driver. You just need to be patient.
This has come up a lot this year, down about 33% YTD, partly due to the last 2 conference calls. Earnings had disappointed in both. Investors waited about 4 years for them to get their bank license which came in September, and it was going to be 6 months before benefits would be seen. In the last quarter, there wasn’t a lot of evidence of that. About 3 years ago, the company went into the payments business, and have been building up a business in that, so there were a lot of expenses, but no sales. Because of this, expenses have grown much faster than sales growth. They’ve built a lot of infrastructure, and they now need to grow into that. He has a lot of confidence in the CEO. Expects that the next quarter is also not going to be a great one.
Supplies physical foreign exchange. They’ve diversified into the payments business, which has caused a few headaches for them in the last few years. It is still not in profit mode. There was a lot of excitement last Sept/16, when they got their bank license, and it was thought they would take the Canadian market by storm. The reality is that it has been a tougher slog in the Canadian market. Incumbents were a little more resilient than what had been thought. Q3 had record revenues, but expenses were a little higher than expected. Expenses continue to grow. Sold his holdings this summer, largely on valuations. It is difficult to justify the stock given its outlook for growth and profitability.
A very good small cap. They gapped up. Volume is sporadic, because it's a small cap. Had an 8% rise on March 15. Continues to rally. Would like to see more volume and it could consolidate around $23-26. There are positive signs of a break-out. Reduce around $26.75. It's now above resistance at $27, which is very positive. Consider adding to it now.
An extremely interesting business. They do a lot of wholesale currency. Now they can get funds cheaper. They can go to the Fed or the central bank to get funds. Getting that kind of volume on currency may allow them to get some bigger clients. Just starting to prove the model out now. If you own, he would continue to Hold until you see the model prove out. He likes the business.