CSX CorpCSXCOMMENTMay 14, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
It broke out last December. After consolidating, it's breaking out again. For traders, he likes $43, the rising 50-day average, at a minimum will lock in a gain but allow you to stay in the stock long enough. For investors, $43-44 is support and will take out $47. There's earnings growth. Will pass $50.
The market is speculating if CSX will merge with another railroad, but CS has only 3 years under this president to do it, since another president likely won't give that much latitude to an already-concentrated industry. And the Norfolk Southern-Union Pacific is hitting speed bumps. He wouldn't buy CSX based on takeover speculation, but on improving business. Yesterday's quarter: a modest top and bottom line miss, but strong operating metrics and a 1% YOY volume increase and offered a positive full-year forecast including revenue growth and operating margin expansion. CSX will do fine in a stagnant economy and be a big winner if the economy picks up.
The railway sector has done very, very well over the last 10 years. They are getting more market share from trucks, and the shipment of coal and oil has greatly benefited them. Right now they are in a bit of a tough spot given the stock has run up quite a bit and that coal is under threat from oversupply and oil shipments are down. Doesn’t expect there will be much growth this year. He would like to see it trading down more before he got interested.