Stockchase Opinions

Bill Bonner Cequence Energy Ltd. CQE-T HOLD Jan 07, 2015

This was criticized for having 2 great assets. Sold one of them because no one believed they had the capital to develop both. They paid down all their debt and are now sitting with a great play at Simonette. This has multizone opportunity and they have infrastructure in place. They have gas gathering systems, processing capabilities, etc. Now they just have to throw some capital at it. He is very excited about how they can be looking 12 months out. With roughly 10,000-11,000 BOE’s a day, they may probably touch 15,000 this year, there is plenty of drilling opportunity left. Thinks it can be a 20,000 BOE a day producer. He loves the story. A target price of $1.50-$1.75 would not be unreasonable.

$1.060

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas
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SELL

A good tax loss candidate unless you are a raging bull on oil. There is no compelling reason. He doesn’t see it gaining traction. They can’t grow at a depressed natural gas price, like some others.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick June 27/14. Down 71.67%.) Still owns a little. Thinks it is a solid asset base. They just did a deal to sell 50% of a gas plant along with the joint venture on a pipeline. This is a good step to free up more cash flow and to move the needle.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top May 21/14, Down 77.12%) Turned into a small cap company. He got out into a higher liquidity name. He would need oil in the $70 range to get back into this story.

COMMENT

(Market Call Minute.) This is under strategic review. Probably gets a bit higher than the share price, but you are not going to get rich owning the stock.

SELL

They ran a strategic review, which resulted in no buyers, and the CEO decided to leave the company. If you own, he would just sell the stock.

DON'T BUY

(Market Call Minute.) A small emerging Montney play. The Board recently fired management, and he is not sure where the company goes from here. He can think of better Montney players.

DON'T BUY

BNP-T is a much bigger company. CQE-T is a smaller company and has a different risk profile. He prefers BNP-T.

DON'T BUY

This company has a bond maturing next year and the performance of the stock has been poor. It has production of 6713 boed in Q4 down from 8609 boed the year before. The balance sheet has been the problem and people are worried whether they will be able to extend the bond. It is very high risk.

BUY
It is a junior company at about $0.70 so he does not talk about it on the show. The book value is $6.50. It was a dry natural gas producer. They are now drilling two oil wells (light oil and liquids). The stock is very cheap here.
HOLD
They did a flow through share. The company is involved in oil and Nat. gas. He has a $1.20 target on it. If they can generate more cash flow they can get the debt down. He likes it. He may add on weakness.