John Sinkins, CFA
Calpine Corp
CPN-N
BUY
Dec 29, 2003
Has restructured its balance sheets significantly. As deregulated power in the US begins to recover, there should be some upside in the next 2/3 years. Risky.
Very speculative investment. Could have a little bit of upside, but expect liquidity issues in the fourth quarter of 2004 when they have a $2 1/2-billion convertible bond due.
Doesn't see it rebounding anytime soon. It’s a merchant power plant constructor and operator. There is now too much supply in the US coming on stream all at the wrong time. Spreads have been collapsing. Large debt.
Not a fan. Have done a lot of things right over the last year giving them about $2.5 billion of liquidity at year's end. Concerned with how they will finance their gas plants they are building. Margins will come under pressure.