ConocoPhillipsCOPTOP PICKOct 24, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 24, 2026. Market Open.
For oil energy, pessimism on supply was really priced in on March 26. Since then, oil names have retraced. Oil is a significant portion of the economy, and that's why it causes inflation.
With oil prices coming down on the back of peace breaking out, the narrative and fund flows are going to be somewhat negative. Capital will move to other areas. The price will be higher than it was pre-conflict, but we'll have to see what this "new normal" price will be. And he wouldn't buy any energy names till that shakes out.
2016 was the year management would like to forget. They were caught with their pants down when oil prices collapsed in Jan/Feb 2016, to the point where they had to cut their dividend. They went back to the drawing board. Had an analyst’s day at the end of 2016, where they said they were going to sell $5-$8 billion of assets in 2017. They sold over $13 billion of assets already, and have used that to repair the balance sheet. They’re buying back stock. Thinks they are positioning the company in a position of strength in an environment in the energy sector, which is going to continue to be volatile. Dividend yield of 2.1%. (Analysts’ price target is $53.)