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Opinions Brian Acker, CA
ConocoPhillipsCOPCOMMENTNov 29, 2013
Brian Acker, CAUnknown
$72.80
Stock price when the opinion was issued
$110.64
As of Jun 16, 2026. Market Open.
integrated oils
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BUY
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 24/21, Up 55%) He's adding to this. Energy remains attractive as oil prices remain firm. The current pullback in oil prices opens an opportunities. Pays a 2% dividend. 10% free cash flow. Will buyback shares and pays dividends.
Stan WongOwned
integrated oils
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Premium contentPAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Mar 03/22, Down 5%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with COP has triggered its stop at $93. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment gain of 50%, when combined with our previous buy recommendation.
integrated oils
Premium contentPAST TOP PICK
Premium contentTOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly The recent tragic events in Ukraine underscore the urgency of security of energy supply and that is why COP is reiterated as a TOP PICK. With holdings in the most prolific basins in the US -- Eagle Ford shale, Bakken shale, and Delaware Basin and term debt that is only 23% of the capital structure makes this a good strategic fit. We also like that they have building cash reserves while paying down debt and buying back shares and it pays a dividend backed by a payout ratio of 33% of cash flow. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $50) to $80, looking to achieve $115 -- over 16% upside. Yield 1.45% (Analysts’ price target is $103.56)
integrated oils
When you are calculating upside to a model price, in addition to valuation does your assessment process also give you an idea about what exactly is strong with regards to quality of management? Quality of management comes through the numbers. When you see good management, the math is perfect. On this one, management does not know what they are doing compared to Exxon Mobil. But realize that these are over long periods of time. Also, remember that this one went through a reorganization when they kicked out the refiner. His model prices $82, which is a 13%-13.5% upside, which is good, but he is finding a whole lot of value elsewhere. (See Top Picks.)