Stock price when the opinion was issued
Highest beta to oil price, as it's the least vertically integrated of the seniors. Top-notch management. Very strong FCF. Solid balance sheet. Great yield. Chart's flat over last year, much due to lack of differentiating catalysts (unlike SU or CVE). Low oil price has impacted ability to hit internal debt targets or increase share buybacks.
Steadily climbing to first resistance around the key level of $45, which is a "reversal of polarity" (support becomes resistance, resistance becomes support). Good news is that it's broken out of downtrend. Much stronger technically. Watch: does it break out above $45? If yes, starts to look really good.
Has been testing investors' patience, but performing in line with the S&P. Trading in and around support. Has quite a lot of natural gas, and the situation for LNG in Canada is getting a bit better. Long-life assets are really attractive, as is the yield. Dividend will grow over time.
Cut it some slack. Accumulate here as we go into a seasonally stronger period.
He doesn't see his firm ever selling this one. Well managed, really good assets. The price will ebb and flow with the commodity price. Dividend has increased ~20 years straight. Just finalized oil sands acquisition of outstanding percentage not already owned, which will increase FCF. Commodity has a good medium- to long-term setup.