Stockchase Opinions

Derek Webb, CFA Celestica Inc. CLS-N SHORT May 03, 2007

Classic short. Forget the long term. Too much supply, disappointing earnings.
$7.030

Stock price when the opinion was issued

electrical electronic
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DON'T BUY
Trading is ragged. Profit margins are thin. Avoid.
SELL
It's a down trend.
DON'T BUY
Doesn't recommend doesn't like this sector.
DON'T BUY
The contract-manufacturing sector basically assembles electronics for others. A low margin business. When the retailers and designers are pressed when sales are slow, these are the people that get squeezed. Has survived and might do somewhat better coming out of this but will never be a huge earner.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick March 31/10. Down 4.77%.) Got stopped out in April/10.
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They had products coming off their platforms. Margins are going up. She would be a buyer here.

BUY

What Canadian company would benefit from 5G technologies, except the big telcos? No, there isn't one. By 2026, the 5G business will be worth $1.26 trillion globally. The problem is that service providers have to invest a lot of money and wait a long time to recoup that money. He, instead, invests in the companies supplying these service providers, like Cisco and Celestica.

BUY

A great comeback story, and shares are still inexpensive.

WATCH

Analyze companies day by day, ask if it's still meeting expectations. He owns this one in his Canadian portfolio, and in his US small-cap. Last week, it reaffirmed 2025 growth expectations. More than 1/2 its business is directed at data centre development. Parabolic move, but fundamentals have also grown very well. Valuation still undemanding. 

Keep an eye on it, and don't get carried away with price momentum. Trim if it gets too big a position in your portfolio. There's a difference between a trim (portfolio management) and a sell (based on fundamental value).