Opinions John Zechner
CaterpillarCATPAST TOP PICKNov 06, 2017
John ZechnerStock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
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Has seen many upgrades. Their earnings were out of control. They have $60 billion in backlog orders, and revenues up over 20%. Loves it.
Kevin Simpson
Equipment dealers are a great place to be -- pass through inflation very well, good plays on mining and global growth. TIH and FTT have the same type of chart, but not so much with WJX.
Technically, over its skis. So don't buy here. But the theme has legs for the next 3-5 years. FTT is a better deal (but at a lower level as well).
All 3 of the Top Picks today involve taking a bit of money away from the infrastructure plays.
This name plus WMT have been using AI the most and for the longest. Has autonomous and semi-autonomous machines. For those machines that have drivers, they just launched a CAT-AI system -- like having a friend and a coach in the cab. AI is being used for predicting and for supply chains.
His 12-month price target is $750. Buy 1/3 here, another ~$645, and the final 1/3 ~$605. Yield is 0.89%.
Kim Bolton
(A Top Pick Nov 16/16. Down 52%.) *Short* At the time, this was trading at over 30 times earnings, with basically 3 years of down earnings. It was trading at a ridiculously high multiple. They missed on the past 5 quarters, and the stock had run up on the idea that Donald Trump was going to build the wall using thousands of Caterpillar tractors. He underestimated the global recovery, which helped sales. On top of that, they operationally improved their margins to such a degree that earnings recovery has grown through the estimates in the last three quarters. Has shorted again recently because, although a good story, it is trading at 25X what he thinks will be their peak earnings.