Opinions Peter Imhof
Grande West Transportation GroupBUS.VTOP PICKFeb 28, 2017
Peter ImhofStock price when the opinion was issued
As of Mar 26, 2021. Market Open.
You might be interested:
Buses may be electric, CNG, or clean diesel and electric buses are offered by the company.
Over the past five years, sales have shrunk by a compounded annual growth rate of 14.5%, while EBITDA and Net income have grown at a CAGR of more than 100% over the past five years. The company is expected to turn profitable in 2024.
While the balance sheet has improved over the year, negative cash flows and EBITDA make it less attractive compared to its peers.
We think some of this is priced in, however, VCM is also expected to grow at multiples of its current sales while slowing growth is expected for others.
There is still a long way to go before the growth materializes, and that's still an 'if' it does.
We would consider the name risky.
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Bruce Campbell (2)Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. The stock has seen an amazing recovery with business picking up. The move into EV was welcomed but the space remains competitive. It is not without risk, and to continue their EV projects, they will need capital. Expectations are high which adds additional risk. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Stockchase InsightsBruce Campbell (2)
It comes down to contracts and orders. Now is a rebuilding year for them. They have to prove they can be profitable in a low-delivery schedule. Compare them to the larger NFI which has a larger backlog and overall business, though neither is doing well this year.
They make smaller buses, relative to New Flyer (NFI-T). It will probably be his “go to” name over the next couple of years. Thinks they are at an inflection point where they have over 240 buses in backlog. Have just started to ramp up in terms of production, and thinks Q1 will be a good quarter. Has a huge advantage over everybody else. It is more cost efficient for people to buy these buses, because if you look at the 40 foot buses that are out there, they are driving around fairly empty after peak hours. The US is spending a lot more money in this area in terms of municipalities. Probably going to earn $.10 this year, and maybe $.15 in 2018, and will probably trade at around 14X next year’s earnings, but earnings are going to be extremely strong. (Analysts’ price target is $2.25.)