Stock price when the opinion was issued
He sold ~40-50% of his position at $79-80. Now that it's dropped below $70, considering buying it back. Appealing dividend yield. Not sure correction is over yet because of credit cycle. May try to buy cheaper, but it's a reasonable entry point if you have a very long horizon.
Savvy new CEO's doing quite a decent job. Managing balance sheet well, but he's unsure about 15% acquisition of KeyCorp in US.
EPS of $1.52 missed estimates of $1.56; revenue of $9.08B was marginally better than estimates. Scotiabank's transition is advancing, driving overall adjusted operating leverage and international segment efficiency improvement, aided by progress toward C$800 million in cost savings this year and primacy expansion. The bank may reach 5-7% 2025 EPS growth. Trade risks still weigh on domestic and Latin America economies, reflected in a higher-performing provisions ratio. Slower activity in domestic banking might extend as clients face uncertainty. Canadian net interest margin eased. Wealth growth is exposed to market volatility, while Capital Market's M&A fees could ease, despite a healthy pipeline. The bank expects 2H impaired provisions at or over 2Q's 57 bps, above prior guidance and expected 2H moderation. Performing reserves in 2Q may help. Scotiabank is set to buy back 20 million shares. All-in, we would be comfortable here. The bank is managing a difficult and uncertain time fairly well so far.
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Underperformed this year relative to peers. In transition, and that will take a while to sort things out. Slowly selling off international assets. Trying to increase presence in US, a bit late to the game. Path forward is somewhat uncertain. Highest yield, so you'll be fine if you have a long horizon.
She's actually a bit nervous on all the banks.
BNS continues to pay a solid dividend yield of 5.4%, and it is up 22% on a year-to-date basis, and 29% on a one-year basis. Its earnings outlook is improving, and most analyst estimates are trending higher recently. Analysts have been upping their price targets mostly on improving fundamentals under the CEO, Scott Thomson, who has revamped leadership and focused on profitability. It may see some consolidation after its recent run up, but we continue to like the name and feel that it trades at a reasonable valuation of 11.4X forward earnings.
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