Stockchase Opinions

Norman Levine Baker Hughes Company BKR-Q WEAK BUY Jul 25, 2017

GE-N is merging their oil and gas operations with them as their largest shareholder. As a Canadian investor, you get representation in the oil service area. They are more geographically dispersed than the Canadian industry.

$35.250

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas field services
It's the ideal tool to help you make quicker, more informed decisions for managing and tracking your investments.

You might be interested:

COMMENT

Being acquired by Halliburton (HAL-N). The oil service sector is not really a place you want to be in. If you own this, you might just as well accept the Halliburton offer as it is a larger, more liquid stock with a wider geographical range. Not an area that he likes.

DON'T BUY

He tends to screen stocks out after a merger starts. There will be a ticker for the new entity. He thinks Baker Hughes is overvalued. GE-N is potentially buying them at the bottom.

BUY

(Market Call Minute.) They are doing a deal with General Electric (GE-N) which is exciting. As an alternative, he would suggest Schlumberger (SLB-N).

TOP PICK

Fairly recently acquired by General Electric (GE-N) to form an oil/gas partnership using the GE oil and gas service business. If you are a Baker Hughes shareholder, you get a one-time $17.50 dividend. This company has a really strong balance sheet. Presuming the deal is approved mid-2017, the new partnership will be the 2nd largest oil/gas service company in the world on a revenue basis. Thinks energy is starting to form a bottom. As long as oil prices don’t collapse, the combined entity will be very strong. If the deal doesn’t go through, this company will receive a break up fee, of about $1.3 billion. Dividend yield of 1.12%. (Analysts’ price target is $62.17.)

COMMENT

The oil service business has had its ups and downs, and was really reliant on drilling activity. Most of his exposure is in the Canadian market. He prefers Halliburton (HAL-N).

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick Nov 29/16, Up 2.69%) Just before the OPEC production cuts were announced. They are forming a partnership with GE oil services. They will be second in size to Schlumberger after that deal. If it does not get consummated over the summer they will get a huge breakup fee from GE-N. It does not matter if the deal goes through or not, just if the price of oil collapses. Otherwise it is undervalued.

COMMENT

You have to be careful. They issued a one-time special dividend to shareholders, so the $47 share price drop to $33 is artificial. When the deal first happened post the special dividend, the cost basis was something like $33-$35, so you might not be down as much as you think. He really likes this company here. The reports coming from Caterpillar/McDonald’s is that China is growing quite strong, which is going to help the demand side of the oil equation, and the combined entity of GE/Baker Hughes is now the 2nd largest in terms of revenue from the oil services business. For the long-term, this is a very compelling a holding.

DON'T BUY

Recently reported a mixed quarter: soft revenues and modest earnings beat. But guidance was weak: about 8-9% growth overseas but low-single-digit declines in the U.S. Shares have sunk 5%. This has been the worst oil driller for a long time.

BUY

Is 6% from 52-week highs. Is 54 on RSI, so momentum is healthy, in a long-term uptrend since 2022. Companies rely on them to maximize yield on an oil field or set up a new rig. Are few of these companies. He's long.