BHP BillitonBHPWATCHFeb 25, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 04, 2026. Market Open.
He likes cash-generating resource producers -- great as inflation protection. Largest producer of iron ore on the planet, with ~45% of revenues coming from that. Adding copper production (up 28% over last 3 years), which is now 44% of revenue.
Fully integrated from production to rail shipments, which diversifies its business. Yield is 3.20%.
It is one of the world's largest diversified mining companies. Iron ore, copper and metallurgical coal are its main products. Global demand for copper is expected to increase 70% by 2050. Revenue is about $55 billion US. Iron ore adds more scale, resilience and cash flow stability. Also in China there is stabilization in the markets. It has broken above its key long term resistance levels so there is technical strength, Pays a 4% dividend.
Buy 2 Hold 5 Sell 1
Australian-based, one of the largest global mining companies in the world. A play on copper and iron ore for steel -- essential for infrastructure buildout, electrification, and energy transition. Long-term secular themes.
We've gone from the AI build up, to the build out. We need data centres and grid stability. China wants to improve infrastructure and electricity grid, and is one of the largest sources of revenue for BHP. Stock's now broken above multi-year highs. Yield is 3.22%.
The largest miner today, in iron ore and copper. Mining is risky; it takes a long time to see if whatever you dig out of the ground will sell. He likes BHP's diversification. Iron ore is in safer countries, copper not, so BHP is attractive in this way. There remains good demand for copper. Trades at 12-13x PE and nice balance sheet. but a little risky.
In basic materials, iron ore's had a hard time partly due to slowdown in China. And that's a big part of its business. Longer term, we're in early stages of a long-term bull market in commodity prices. Big cashflow generators will pay a lot of dividends along the way. Mixed economic data before an easing cycle impacts this company.
He prefers copper. Owns TECK.B, a bit frustrating, but he can see the runway.
Mining shares have been on a tear recently; copper and gold have performed exceedingly well. Outlook for mining materials is still probably OK. Especially if Trump is re-elected, there's the belief that there's going to be more growth going forward, and this is what typically drives the mining sector.
He doesn't have a lot of this type of exposure. He tends to gravitate away from any company whose earnings and revenue depend on a tradeable commodity; makes it very difficult to predict cashflow 5-10 years out. It doesn't mean that the shares can't be accretive, but the path to cashflow is less visible.
Best asset in Australia.