Stock price when the opinion was issued
In his momentum mandate. Best planes out there in medium- and long-range heavy aircraft. Sells to the rich, who keep getting richer, so there's an appetite for their planes. Sold off, probably due to fears of tariff vulnerability. Lots of manufacturing in Canada, though most customers are in US.
Order backlog is good. Supply chains problems are being ironed out. Executing very well. Going after defense and maintenance markets. Good cashflow and de-leveraging to support the shares.
Very focused on a single segment, private aviation. Increasingly, more revenues are coming from after-market parts and service. Bigger addressable market opportunities with the bigger installed base of its planes.
Growing opportunity in small, but high-margin, segment where they adapt a plane's chassis to reconnaissance planes of NATO allies. Deleveraging, big free cashflow. No dividend.
Continues to be an accretive growth story with deleveraging. Tariff noise was unexpected. Still, showing solid execution. Forward 2025 guidance appears achievable. Impressive ability to improve margins. Not expensive at 11x PE for 2026, growing at 17%. Not for the faint of heart.
Demand is off the charts. Bump in the road right now is about tariffs on parts, steel, aluminum. Much different business than before. Generating lots of free cash, balance sheet improving rapidly. Manufacturing is a tough business, and he'd rather a segment with more certainty with a stock like TDG.
(A Top Pick May 22/14. Down 14.7%.) (7.35% bond maturing in 2026.) Pretty much everything went wrong about 9 months ago. Bought this because he felt that over time their new C series would be built and would be quite successful. Since then, their business jet division had some issues and they had to shut down a Lear jet plane project. Their Global 7000-8000 has been delayed. Even their Global 5000-6000 has seen lower sales. Holding this bond going forward should be fine. They face challenges, but feels most of those challenges are in the rear-view mirror. Once they start selling the C series they won’t be spending as much developing or burning as much cash flow.