Stock price when the opinion was issued
A win for BBD.B, half a win for HON.
BBD.B as a standalone is a very good business, improving margins, focusing on the more predictable and sustainable after-market business. Also growing defense business. Backlog is good. Executed really well, and this can continue. Some concern about how they might be affected by tariffs, but that's overstated.
Good chance to accumulate, but you need a 2-5 year horizon because the stock's done so well and much of the good news has been priced in.
In his momentum mandate. Best planes out there in medium- and long-range heavy aircraft. Sells to the rich, who keep getting richer, so there's an appetite for their planes. Sold off, probably due to fears of tariff vulnerability. Lots of manufacturing in Canada, though most customers are in US.
Order backlog is good. Supply chains problems are being ironed out. Executing very well. Going after defense and maintenance markets. Good cashflow and de-leveraging to support the shares.
Very focused on a single segment, private aviation. Increasingly, more revenues are coming from after-market parts and service. Bigger addressable market opportunities with the bigger installed base of its planes.
Growing opportunity in small, but high-margin, segment where they adapt a plane's chassis to reconnaissance planes of NATO allies. Deleveraging, big free cashflow. No dividend.
(A Top Pick May 22/14. Down 14.7%.) (7.35% bond maturing in 2026.) Pretty much everything went wrong about 9 months ago. Bought this because he felt that over time their new C series would be built and would be quite successful. Since then, their business jet division had some issues and they had to shut down a Lear jet plane project. Their Global 7000-8000 has been delayed. Even their Global 5000-6000 has seen lower sales. Holding this bond going forward should be fine. They face challenges, but feels most of those challenges are in the rear-view mirror. Once they start selling the C series they won’t be spending as much developing or burning as much cash flow.