Stockchase Opinions

Stan Wong Bank of America BAC-N BUY Oct 10, 2024

Likes the money-centre banks like this one, as well as the investment-centred banks. US economy is improving. 12x PE, not expensive. 13-15% earnings growth for 2025 and 2026. Decent dividend of 2.6%, has grown by 9% a year over last 5 years. This is a more conservative play than banks like GS or MS.

$39.860

Stock price when the opinion was issued

banks
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BUY

Was upgraded today. Because of Merrill Lynch, BAC now has scale--that theme is finally working.

PARTIAL SELL
Hold on or take gains?

Whether to take gains is a function of percentage in your portfolio. 5% is OK, but if 10% or more think about taking some off the table. Too big to fail. Exceptional job cost-cutting. May be trending toward deregulation, so US domestic banks would be more shielded.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

Incredibly well run. Better opportunities than others because it has other businesses that don't rely on interest rates, such as credit cards and investment banking. Bigger and better than others, able to do more M&A as well.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

There will be only 2 rate cuts next year, not 3 or 4. Adjust your expectations. So, this stock is fairly valued, though buy under $40.

HOLD

Growth, but a lot less than Citi. The banks each take their turn to shine, and you want to buy them at different times.

WEAK BUY

They just reported a modest revenue beat and strong earnings beat. All 4 segments grew, though cost controls were merely okay at a modest beat. Expense guidance was merely in-line. BAC is doing fine, not great like its peers.

HOLD
Time to take profits because of the USD-CAD exchange rate?

The "too big to fail" banks have had strong recent earnings. US economy is doing quite well right now, benefiting from lots of tailwinds, new US president is pro-business. This position makes sense.

Whether to trim is more a question of portfolio weighting. Look at the money in your overall portfolio and in BAC specifically. If that position is over 5%, or 7% on its way to 10%, then maybe trim down to 2-3%. That way, if things reverse and the price comes down, it won't have an impact on your overall portfolio.

BUY

Very good company with excellent prospects. Owns shares in the company. Believes banking stocks will continue to lead market. Deregulation from President Trump will allow company to generate new profits. New Crypto developments will also provide catalysts for growth. 

TOP PICK

Loves the money-centre banks. Not quite as expensive as JPM, but more interest-rate sensitive. A gently falling interest-rate environment (which he thinks will come to pass, though it's up for debate), net interest margins will widen and that's traditionally good for banks. Capital markets business has really built up, and will open up post-Biden. Economy in pretty good shape. Undemanding valuation. Yield is 2.3%.

(Analysts’ price target is $52.46)
BUY

Likes US financials. Quietly up ~49% last 12 months. Just watch that's it's coming up to potential resistance around $50, which it hit in early 2022. If it breaks above, great sign; but might also bounce down below it. He owns GS. 

See his Top Picks.