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Alibaba Group HoldingBABATOP PICKFeb 02, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
E-commerce and cloud computing (the most nascent piece). E-commerce is under a lot of strain. AI large-language models are compelling in Chinese market, but that entire market is very competitive and ripe for disruptors. A trading stock over the next 2-3 years. Not a buy-and-hold. Tactically a buy today, but be very careful.
Like Amazon, they dominate key secular growth areas in e-commerce, are in cloud computer though trade at only one third of Amazon's PE. Is a modest grower, but has a huge margin of safety. There's so much pessimism about tariffs now. Wait and see, but would be an opportunity if the tariffs are more bark than bite.
Short answer is yes, he likes it. He was selling into strength a few months ago. Now he's looking to reload. On a 5-year chart, you can see the massive bottoming pattern. Won't see numbers like the previous highs again. Probably worth $125-150 over the next few years, if they can stimulate the consumer and the consumer responds.
Chinese consumers have tons of savings, so the potential is there. Buy on pullbacks. One of the best value retail names out there. But you have to be OK with China exposure.
Founded in 1999. Initially it was just a simple portal connecting manufacturer in China to buy items around the world. Currently about 80% of online retail goes to an Ali Baba website. She likes the whole move to online, because if you think about China and their big land base, they are very concentrated in major cities where there are a lot of bricks and mortar retailers. Then you have the rural and smaller villages, where there are none. Valuation is very compelling. Among the big 3 tech companies in China, this is the most inexpensive. (Analysts’ price target is $125.24.)