BroadcomAVGODON'T BUYAug 07, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 02, 2026. Market Open.
Tried to corner the market by introducing some products that were not as open source, and the market pushed back. That's why it hasn't been able to accelerate its networking business as much as expected. Earnings disappointed. They'll turn it around, more to come on networking. Interesting on this pullback.
She owns players with more upside.
AVGO is like the smaller cousin of NVDA. Built GOOG's AI program, increasingly making waves with Anthropic (owns Claude). Interesting, but not a shoot-the-lights-out opportunity. He'd buy.
MRVL is trying to take a share of the chips that go into GOOG, and is already involved with AMZN cloud. Be careful. It's not a given that it's a capable designer of cutting-edge chips. Coin flip. We've been fooled before.
NVDA is actually more interesting than both.
He is not a big fan of semiconductors at this time. In general, he wants to see good fundamentals that are confirmed by good technicals. At this point, the Broadcom technicals are not good. It has broken trend and for that reason he would not step into it. Regarding the semiconductor cycle, he thinks there is less downside this time than there has been traditionally because there are so many new categories that are creating accelerating demand for semiconductors, such as AI, machine learning, and autonomous driving. These will fuel demand even in a downturn. He would also not buy a semiconductor company based on its dividend growth--semiconductor companies should be showing strong revenue growth. He would wait until the chart looks better and if the fundamentals still look good, then he would buy. (Analysts’ price target is $287.16)