Ben StadelmannAur ResourcesAUR.TODON'T BUYSep 06, 2005
If a recession should hit in 2006 as he expects, copper is a classical cyclical commodity and will get hit hard. Great company with very good management. Good deposits in Chile.
Numbers were a little bit below expectations. Adding acquisitions. Extremely strong balance sheet. Feels it can trade back up in the mid-$20's. Could be a takeout.
It is facing the rapid decline in copper prices. You will probably see some element of earnings being reduced. Seems to be holding here reasonably well. If you’re reasonably optimistic, like he is, some of the metals are looking a little more interesting.
Paying a special dividend towards the end of the month. Outlook for copper is a little more guarded at this stage. If there is a re-acceleration of the economy, the stock can spring back to life and trade in the mid-$20's. Would take a little money off the table at that time.