Stockchase Opinions

Tyler Mordy Deutsche X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-Shares ASHR-N PAST TOP PICK Sep 26, 2019

(A Top Pick Sep 06/18, Up 14%) It is the on-shore Chinese market. It has low expectations and earnings are bottoming.
$27.330

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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TOP PICK

China is looking good for now and is under owned and under loved. He does not see a crash in China. The market on the mainland had come down so much and is so cheap now. You don’t want to be overweight Chinese industrials, but most funds concentrate in financials.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Sept 20/16. Up 19%.) In the last 5 years, China has been everybody’s favourite whipping boy. His view has been completely different. 40% of the holdings are Chinese banks. China is making some good progress towards economic rebalancing. The rise of the Asian consumer is the biggest macro story of the next decade. He just sold this today as it had become very overbought.

TOP PICK

He loves this. 300 of the most liquid and largest chines shares. China has all the things you want to see as a global investor. Low valuation, cutting taxes, easing monetary policy.

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 06/18, Up 17%) Everybody's favourite whipping boy in 2018 was China during the trade war, but he expects a long, secular bull market in China going forward. Good valuations; China's bank earnings are 6x only. China is a complicated market though, because of sprawling securities around the world, but ASHR covers mainland Chinese stocks and heavily weights the banks.
TOP PICK
It is the largest 300 companies trading on mainland China. He thinks the trade wars are a trading opportunity. China is now reflating. They will start to change into an earnings-driven theme instead of a policy-driven theme. It is a long journey from an export-driven market to a consumer-driven market.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 13/19, Up 15%) This was recommended during the height of the China-US trade war, which was crazy to suggest at the time. August was the best time to buy this. In China, no one is under any illusion that growth is slowing. Maybe, the Chinese feel, are getting accustomed to Trump.
COMMENT

Likes the ASHR market. The question is whether the risks around the tech cold war with China is fully priced in. China relative to the rest of the world is pretty fair value. Plays China through KBA and nibbling away at it.

COMMENT
ZCH vs ASHR to invest in China market? ZCH originaly focused more on Hong-Kong while ASHR focused on mainland China stocks. In December BMO refocused ZCH to take more of an ESG lens. Very interesting for a China ETF. Ok with either one. A little of both is better, but like ASHR a bit more.
DON'T BUY
Best of China's growth is in the rear view mirror. Not investing in China anymore. Not positive on the country.