Opinions
Tyler Mordy
Deutsche X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-Shares
ASHR-N
TOP PICK
Jul 22, 2016
$24.340
Stock price when the opinion was issued
E.T.F.'s
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sept 20/16. Up 19%.) In the last 5 years, China has been everybody’s favourite whipping boy. His view has been completely different. 40% of the holdings are Chinese banks. China is making some good progress towards economic rebalancing. The rise of the Asian consumer is the biggest macro story of the next decade. He just sold this today as it had become very overbought.
E.T.F.'s
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 06/18, Up 17%) Everybody's favourite whipping boy in 2018 was China during the trade war, but he expects a long, secular bull market in China going forward. Good valuations; China's bank earnings are 6x only. China is a complicated market though, because of sprawling securities around the world, but ASHR covers mainland Chinese stocks and heavily weights the banks.
E.T.F.'s
TOP PICK
It is the largest 300 companies trading on mainland China. He thinks the trade wars are a trading opportunity. China is now reflating. They will start to change into an earnings-driven theme instead of a policy-driven theme. It is a long journey from an export-driven market to a consumer-driven market.
E.T.F.'s
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 13/19, Up 15%) This was recommended during the height of the China-US trade war, which was crazy to suggest at the time. August was the best time to buy this. In China, no one is under any illusion that growth is slowing. Maybe, the Chinese feel, are getting accustomed to Trump.
E.T.F.'s
COMMENT
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There is a lot of misinformation on China. Everyone is trying to interpret the Chinese economy through a Western prism. If you are going to understand the Chinese economy, you have to look at the directives of the government. There was a big bull market from 2002 to 2011 that was driven by exports. Now the government is wanting to rebalance to stimulate the middle class. 40% of this is banks, which are trading at very, very cheap valuations. The worst crash possible is already priced in.