Stockchase Opinions

David Garrity Amazon.com, Inc. AMZN-Q BUY Jun 02, 2008

Where gasoline prices are going ever higher, this company has found the delivery mechanism to give people an increasingly ever wider range of products.
$80.230

Stock price when the opinion was issued

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WATCH

Likes the chart. 2024 was bananas, and the stock went parabolic and probably well over 15% above its 200-day MA. So it had to fall. Possibly testing the trendline. He needs to see evidence of a bounce, but if it did he'd be all over it. Great company.

BUY
AMZN vs. AAPL

Paying 30x PE for 14-15% growth. You're buying this for the cloud, which is growing very quickly. Slightly cheaper than AAPL today, so he'd pick this one.

BUY

The caller was hoping for a 10% per year return and Amazon is growing earnings faster than 10% and revenue at least 10%. Tech stocks across the board have sold off and the P/E is now 31. Its valuation today is the same as Walmart which is over-priced. A couple of years ago it decide to relax its constant investment.

BUY

AWS and Prime are doing well as well as its ad business.

TOP PICK

The PE is now below Walmart's. They have so much data and are developing agentic AI, the next wave in tech. He targets $255.

(Analysts’ price target is $267.87)
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick May 15/24, Up 4%)

Frustrating, as stock's down mainly due to macro, not to the company itself. Beat on recent quarter. AWS is really growing from AI tailwinds. People may be concerned about level of AI spend at 35% of capex. Growing at 20% a year, trading at 20x 2027 PE. 

This is where you'd want to buy if there wasn't all this macro noise. Things could get worse if the administration doesn't pull back. Good, long-term name at these levels. Buy here, forget about it for 10 years.

TOP PICK

Benefits from people moving to the cloud and AI. Makes so much $$ doing that already, and the world isn't going to be doing any less in those areas. AMZN will continue to be a dominant player in those areas. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $267.07)
PARTIAL BUY

Acting pretty well today. Indicators are trying to turn up, meaning some of the selling is maxed out and people are stepping in. Support around $175, then heavy support around $155. After that, support level is ~$110.

BUY

He'd prefer this to SHOP, as AMZN is way more broadly diversified. Plus its cloud business is a massive business. Because of cyberattacks, a company of any size is forced to use cloud services either from AMZN or MSFT. Fears of recession are hitting all retailers and e-tailers.

BUY

Is -28% from February's high. The fear is that tariffs will crush their core e-commerce business; most of their goods are made overseas which will get a lot more expensive. But they've become more of a consumer staples business like Walmart, and they have the scale to force the suppliers to eat the tariffs. They also have a sticky Prime business and AWS has enough to growth offset weakness in retail. Trades at 25x PE, half its historical average.