Greg Newman
Agnico-Eagle Mines
AEM-T
HOLD
Apr 25, 2025
Nice beat on recent earnings announcement. $600M in free cashflow. 3% higher production. Importantly, 3-6% lower costs than market expected. Very important that they maintained guidance for projects. Not cheap at 23x 2026 earnings.
Gold will keep working if clarity doesn't come from the US administration. Risk is that you get something that's necessary and sufficient from them; clarity and good policy would cause gold to fall off a lot, and the rest of the market will rally. Don't add here.
It's great that it's run up and is a significant portion of a portfolio. It's provided great diversification. Absolutely don't buy more, do not chase. If you own it, let it run.
Trevor Rose’s Insights - Trevor’s most-liked answers from 5i Research
We believe quite strongly in the gold sector right now, and AEM still looks good. We would be comfortable buying some at current levels. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Gold's done well. She typically doesn't invest in commodity sectors. If you want gold exposure, one preference has always been AEM for its low-political-risk regions, growing mining operations, and good execution by very good management. Performed very well long-term over the cycle.
It's one of his best performers with fine margins and they cleaned up their balance sheet. They pay a small dividend, but grows rapidly. More momentum in gold to come.
AEM is reiterated as a TOP PICK as its strong cash flows under higher commodity pricing is allowing the company to aggressively retire debt and buy back shares. It recently announced a growth in ownership of a Canadian based mining company involved in the country's only copper and zinc mine under development. It trades at 16x earnings and 2.4x book. We will continue to recommend a stop at $136, looking to achiever $186 -- upside potential of 24%. Yield 1.5%
Chart shows yet another lovely story for gold. Trend is your friend till it ends (silly rhyme, but there's truth to it). It can always pull back to the trendline. But until it breaks lows and highs and the chart starts looking terrible, just go with it. Buy on dips.
He continues to be bullish on gold. Still owns, but took partial profits just before it reported. Nothing against AEM, but wanted to spread the risk via another gold producer with more torque. Major thrust behind the move has been the gold price moving higher.
Nice beat on recent earnings announcement. $600M in free cashflow. 3% higher production. Importantly, 3-6% lower costs than market expected. Very important that they maintained guidance for projects. Not cheap at 23x 2026 earnings.
Gold will keep working if clarity doesn't come from the US administration. Risk is that you get something that's necessary and sufficient from them; clarity and good policy would cause gold to fall off a lot, and the rest of the market will rally. Don't add here.