Stock price when the opinion was issued
Gold is taking a big hit today, with spot gold down $36/oz. AEM Q4 EPS of $1.26 beat estimates of $1.16; revenue of $2.22B marginally missed estimates. EBITDA of $1.33B matched estimates. Margins were a record on good cost control. 847,000 ounces were produced in Q4 with all-in costs at $1,316. Mines performed well. Production guidance was steady, but this is likely the company being conservative. Net debt is now very low and the company is in excellent financial shape going forward. Shares slipped a bit but are up 127% in a year and we would be comfortable with the quarter and outlook.
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With recently reported EPS doubling year ago levels and free cash flow at record levels, we reiterate AEM at a TOP PICK. We like that cash reserves are growing, while the company buys back shares and retires debt. We recommend maintaining the stop at $101, looking to achieve $140 -- upside potential of 23%. Yield 1.4% Season's Greetings!
(Analysts’ price target is $140.06)