COMMENT
Nvidia reports after the bell today

The report will set the tone for overall market risk for the coming days. It could fall due to extreme bullishness. Can other areas pick up inflows from the money market and bonds. AI stocks are rattled now give SMCI, down 26%, with some skepticism. If NVDA doesn't miss, it goes higher. He wants to hear if there's strong demand for the H200 chip or any missteps with Blackwell.

DON'T BUY
Wells Fargo cut the price target from $650 to $375

He agrees. Don't catch a falling knife now. Can't defend SMCI fundamentally. He bought this in late July but momentum flipped to the negative in August. 

BUY

Negative free cash flow to enter 2024, but it's turning positive. Shares are up 21% this year.

BUY

It's amazing how they've pivoted from government clients to AI-related ones. It's underappreciated, thriving as software struggles and delivers as seen with its last earnings.

BUY

Stay with it. They have the right model for the consumer in this economic climate. A long-term holding for him.

BUY

Financials are the strongest sector this year. XLF is up 19% this year. He holds 35 stocks in financials and 26 outperform the S&P, including Progressive, KKR and Hartford Financial. They have revenue growth and strong momentum.

BUY

They keep investing n companies with consistent revenue growth and strong balance sheets. This is Buffett's strategy. He invests in the right sectors like staples, financials and insurance. He's confident that the company will continue to succeed after Buffett.

HOLD
There are NVDA earnings viewing parties! Eventually, do demand and growth start to wane?

King of the infrastructure, and many reasons for that. By 2027, revenue should grow to $196B from $24B in 2022. They led with the chip, fiddled with the building and packaging of it. Over the last year, they've really incorporated a lot of software into the chip. That makes it even more difficult for the likes of AMD or INTC to catch up.

Stock's no more expensive then it was back in 2022. If earnings continue to grow, interest rates continue to come down, and the macro environment is still positive, you have to own it.

WEAK BUY

Still really likes it. Once it went through $38, its IPO level, he got out. Since then, convinced some investors to get back in. Employee options skewed supply/demand on the stock and, hence, its price. Fantastic company, enhances data movement and processing efficiency of hyperscalers.

WAIT

Digital logistics. Almost fully priced. Don't buy here, but look under $127-128, $131, and then $134. Wait.

(Analysts’ price target is $141.50)
PARTIAL BUY

Massive runway. He doesn't own it, mainly because of volatility and he prefers others. Buy in stages under $500, around $520, and then $547. Its scary chart won't happen to NVDA because SMCI has a market cap of only $32B.

(Analysts’ price target is $988.00)
COMMENT
Infrastructure.

Getting a place. You can see by the earnings projections of NVDA that infrastructure is going to continue to grow. Think of it like a wheel. In the middle, you have data and the hyperscalers. Around it is model training like GOOG, META, MSFT -- where they train the models to digest data and deliver a result. Outside of that are the applications.

Everyone's been waiting for the infrastructure to get set up. It's set up, but has a long runway. He thinks the interesting area is around the model training, as it can also extend into the applications. You can see it being monetized in healthcare and entertainment.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

12-month price target of $152, long runway. King of DRAM, which is cyclical and very temperamental to pricing. Hold, and add around $80-85. Shouldn't go under $75; if it does, get out.

BUY

Runway is OK. His 12-month price target is $384, so about another $30-35 to get there. Beneficiary of the CRWD fiasco. Like the general store for cybersecurity for large-, medium-, and small-caps. Caters to everyone.

TRADE

Undisputed market leader in foundries, market share of 51%. Huge backlog. Chart shows that it's a bit of a trading stock, but then when it breaks out you can build up a position. When trading, doesn't mean that you have to get out, but allows you to trim.

Delivers on execution, but amazing how such a massive company is still innovative. Cornered the market on the 2-nanometer chip. Fantastically managed.