Today, The Weekly Buzzing Stocks by Billy Kawasaki and The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research) commented about whether AAL-Q, LVS-N, RMBS-Q, BBW-N, GPRK-Q, CRM-N, ANF-N, GM-N are stocks to buy or sell.
No shortage of negative headlines on commercial real estate. Office space was hit because it had capital expenditures rising faster than rents, and then the pandemic changed how we all use office space.
Other headlines revolve around transactions that occurred in a different rate environment, and how they're working out today. Fundamentals in data centres and industrials are quite strong. With interest rates peaking, you're starting to see more bidders come to the table, construction activity go down, and financing become more available. Interest rates are in line with historic averages.
He's quite optimistic about real estate transactions occurring in the private market. Definitely bullish on valuations of publicly traded real estate.
They do, and they've been quite open about it. Yesterday, a spokesperson said they have $64B of dry powder ready to invest in real estate. They've already privatized 2 real estate entities in the past 6 months; TCN was taken out at a 30% premium. They see private markets as fully valued, but public markets as being on sale. It's an opportunity to put lots of capital to work in a very short timeframe, and to be able to finance it.
He's been doing this a long time, so he's seen a few movies. Any time you see interest rates peak, and fundamentals bottom, is the right time to be buying. Blackstone said that when sentiment is at its most negative, that's the time to step into the market.
We've seen this before: after the 2001-2002 recession, the great financial crisis, and March 2020. When values dislocate, real estate becomes such a great store of value. People look at it as a great inflation hedge. Great opportunity to be buying.
Yes. Almost as if third-party logistics companies thought they could supply patio furniture forever. Reality is that industrial real estate is down 17% from peak pricing. When he looks at public markets, industrial REITs are down 30-40%. Over-discounting what is really a temporary slowdown in decision making by tenants. Spread between in-place rents and market rents is quite wide, ability to capture a lot of cashflow.
Great to have a tenant like WMT, as it makes the cashflow very dependable. Being so defensive means not a lot of internal growth, really lags compared to peers, bottom line cashflow not increasing. Higher leverage than peers. Muted earnings growth.
Higher distribution yield around 8%. Could own for the yield. Dividend secure. Payout ratio below 100%.