Diverse customer base. US market represents about 70% of revenue. Profitability above stock market average, and has been for 5-6 years. Balance sheet has more leverage than what he's comfortable with. 20x PE, considerably more expensive than TSX at 16x. Wait for a considerable drop to $170-175. Yield is only 1%.
Largest natural gas producer in Canada. Shares volatile, fluctuating with the shares of nat gas. Now on a rebound. Key to the story is management, has done a good job and owns lots of shares. Balance sheet flush with cash, picked up assets at discount. Profitable at $1.50 gas, and gas is above that. Known for its special dividends. Yield's around 3.5%, often gets close to 10% with the special dividends. Hold now, buy more on weakness.
Business split between IT services and consulting (55% revenue) and systems integration (45%). Public and private. International revenue -- 30% US, 15% Canada, rest from Europe. Recurring revenues from long-term contracts. Investing to expand AI offerings.
Well run, good track record of operating and acquiring. Impressive allocation of capital. Profitability well above market, strong balance sheet. Small premium to the market, but better quality than market. No dividend, but the growth rate is there. Long-term hold.
Canadian champion. Significant market share around the world. Quality. Would own again at the right price. Impressive profitability, strong balance sheet, good yield of 3%. Valuation is really starting to look attractive. Buy now, enjoy yield, hold it for the long term, get price appreciation as well.
Nice 6.5% dividend yield. Traded down due to softness in Central and South American markets, presenting a buying opportunity. Reversion-to-the-mean investment story. Already up 15% from October 2023, not including dividend. If got back to $95, would be a 46% return plus divvie. Buy now for quality, attractive multiple, high yield, and a margin of safety.
Unfortunate timing that it fell $10 after earnings yesterday. Look at rails to see how economy's doing, as they're a leading indicator. Yesterday's earnings were fairly solid, management reaffirmed 2024 outlook of continuing to see expected improvements in economy. EPS growth expected at 10%, ROC 10-15%.
Strong fundamentals, high profitability, good balance sheet. Slightly higher multiple than market, but it's of higher quality than the market. Buy here on the pullback.
Investors are most concerned with the two issues of succession planning and US regulatory scrutiny. You have to believe that TD is vetting suitable candidates for when the time comes. Money-laundering fine expected to be north of half a billion $$.
Strengthened risk management. Outsourced regulatory support. Overhang is creating buying opportunity at a cheaper multiple than peers. Remains a good, high-quality bank, second-largest in Canada. Trades at 10x, 5% yield.
Most efficient way to move goods. Most environmentally friendly way. Economic moat, as you can't outsource the service they provide to areas of the world where labour tends to be cheaper.
All these fundamentals should exist for the next 10, 20, even 50 years.
Tremendous network of pipelines, wonderful barrier to entry. Also 7 nuclear, gas, and power plants. Higher costs on Coastal GasLink created a buying opportunity. Spinning off lower-growth oil business to trim debt and focus on faster-growing nat gas unit. High returns, balance sheet stronger than some peers and improving, high yield of close to 8%. Attractive valuation. Likes it.
For more information, see the goodreid.com blog for his Globe and Mail article.
Very domestic, 80% of revenue from Canada. Could have slower growth opportunities than peers, given how constrained Canadian consumer is right now by debt. US operations only 10% current revenues, working to grow that. Earnings are more volatile, difficult to forecast, but now moving into wealth management to smooth out earnings. Doing well. Attractive multiple of 10x. Yield is 5.7%, safe.
Overall, view on pipelines fairly bullish. Shipping energy off is to capture a higher price, a good idea. Does have favourites in the space, the order shifts over time based on fundamentals. He doesn't get attached. The business looks very positive going forward.
Favourite right now is TRP, as it's the most contrarian of TRP, ENB, and PPL. PPL is great, but trades at a higher multiple. ENB has considerably more debt, a concern especially with higher interest rates.
Rather than try to predict the future of commodity prices, which is difficult, his firm tries to prepare for various outcomes. Has done extremely well, driven by high price of the commodity, which is at highest level since 2007. One of the world's largest producers, operates globally. Also owns 49% of Westinghouse.
Likes its assets, which are in good geopolitical jurisdictions, a real advantage. Main competition is in Kazakhstan, which comes with complications.
However, current valuation of 40x PE is very expensive. Trailing earnings is 80x. No dividend. Take money off the table and invest where there's more upside.
Transports oil and gas. Very strong financials, good management making very good investment decisions. Should continue to do well and increase dividend over upcoming quarters. Should continue to benefit from higher oil prices. Buy here, good long-term hold. 16x PE. Yield is 5.7%.
Prefers it to ENB, which has considerably more debt. TRP is more attractively priced, as it's had to move through some issues.