Today, Brenda Vingiello, CIO, Sand Hill Global Advisors and Joe Terranova commented about whether FCX-N, RIG-N, NKE-N are stocks to buy or sell.
In October, she expects earnings to be strong and to turn the market around. It would be the first quarter of earnings growth after quarters of weakening earnings. Energy should have a much better quarter, due to rising oil prices. September has brought the market back to reality after the June/July rally. Though, the economy remains strong, despite the Fed likely staying higher for longer. At the core are earnings next month. Megatech: One way they benefit is that their huge cash flows earn on high interest rates by doing nothing, and they could make acquisitions to grow. Also, their PEs are reasonable.
The Chinese consumer saved more than Americans during Covid, saved a lot, so there's a lot of cash sitting on the sidelines. Also, China has been exporting deflationary goods (cheaper) which benefits American consumers, because of the weaker Chinese economy. But a risk for the global consumer are high and higher oil prices which would inflate prices.
Interest rates and stock can both rise, though to a certain point. Doesn't think the market will do well in Q4, given the market PE of 19x given where rates are. He's cautious, not bearish. For 15 years, the market has enjoyed free money, but many investors have never seen high rates without free money, so they need to adjust. Also, he loves megatech which could lead, though maybe only slightly or be flat.
Agrees with Bill Ackman that GOOG botched their AI launch and let MSFT take the lead. MSFT is the top AI play, even ahead of Nvidia. Demand for cloud will increase as demand for AI rises, because AI needs more cloud. GOOG is starting to charge a subscription for services, like MSFT, making their revenue stream consistent. He likes and owns both.
Though MSFT is up 32% this year vs. GOOG's 49%, he prefers MSFT, because Google fumbled their AI roll-out while MSFT will benefit more from AI, as offered in their suite of services and how it benefits their consumers. Both companies are strong with strong user bases and will benefit from AI.
Though MSFT is up 32% this year vs. GOOG's 49%, he prefers MSFT, because Google fumbled their AI roll-out while MSFT will benefit more from AI, as offered in their suite of services and how it benefits their consumers. Both companies are strong with strong user bases and will benefit from AI.