COMMENT
Given hot inflation and retail sales today beat, he believes the Fed will hike rates by 75 points this month and September then step back to see how the economy is doing.
BUY
They just came off their largest Prime Day ever. From mid-June on, tech has moved up after being largely oversold. Amazon is among "quality tech" stocks. Supply chain constraints have eased a bit. Is still positive.
WEAK BUY
Blackrock is the largest asset manager in the world, so it must fall with the S&P. They just reported misses on EPS and revenues, but inflows were up this quarter. As we move through this cycle, Blackrock could be good to own.
BUY
PNC has seen steady loan growth, up 18% YOY and 6% QOQ. The regional banks will fare better than the bigger nationals.
BUY
Healthcare is his biggest sector. HC is seeing the classic shift to defensives as inflation peaks. Also, HC trades at only 18x while utilities and staples trade at 21x, so it's the cheapest defensive. He owns Pfizer, UNH and Regeneron.
BUY
Healthcare is his biggest sector. HC is seeing the classic shift to defensives as inflation peaks. Also, HC trades at only 18x while utilities and staples trade at 21x, so it's the cheapest defensive. He owns Pfizer, UNH and Regeneron. UNH's revenue and EPS beat recently. Healthcare has so many tailwinds, including again demographics. He likes preventative healthcare and UNH's position here. HC is fine in the late cycle. There's still to the upside here.
BUY
Healthcare is his biggest sector. HC is seeing the classic shift to defensives as inflation peaks. Also, HC trades at only 18x while utilities and staples trade at 21x, so it's the cheapest defensive. He owns Pfizer, UNH and Regeneron.
BUY
Sales were up 20% in June and traffic up 10% though trading at a slightly pricey 36x.
COMMENT
Even the poorer consumer is still spending and consumers as a whole are taking on more credit card debt. These are positives. Market sentiment has been too negative, too mired. The economy is still healthy. The consumer is a giant driver of GDP group in the U.S. Coming weeks will see corporate earnings and offer more insight.
BUY
They ploughed tons of money into their business, raising concerns over margins. Now, we face less investing by Amazon and expanding margins. Consumers remain strong and shares have underperformed the last two years. Of the megatech stocks, Amazon is the most interesting.
BUY
If commodity prices continue to move exponentially it will likely degrade demand, so she trimmed a holding to buy long-term treasury bonds, the first time she has held Ts for over a decade. She expects the economy to worsen, so she bought Ts to be defensive, and this was the right moment.
BUY
Healthcare has done very well. She just added Zoetis, pet health. One in 5 households adopted a dog in the last 2 years during Covid. Zoetis has held up well relatively to the market.
BUY
Their next quarter won't really be about Q2 but what's to come. Will supply chain disruptions ease in the second half of 2022? Will production be more profitable?
BUY
Increased international travel, the USD at parity with the Euro, and easing restrictions bodes well for Visa.
COMMENT
The bad news for megatech is that they haven't gone down as much as the wider market. Those tech ones that have held up the best sp far, eventually fall down. True, Meta and Netflix are down by half. Last quarter, Amazon reported negative sales and might again. Note that 18% of Apple's business comes from China, so what is the impact of China's lockdowns? Will other consumer plunk down that much money for a notebook amid this economy. The headwinds are real, but we are close to ending this bear market.