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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly This US regional sports and outdoor activity retailer has plans to open 80-100 stores over the next five years and has found ways to make itself the highest productivity per store company in its peer group. Recently reported earnings beat expectations by 22% and support a stellar ROE of 47%. It trades at under 6x earnings, compared to peers at 14x. It has been using some cash reserves to prudently retire debt and aggressively buy back shares. We recommend a stop loss at $26.50, looking to achieve $55.00 -- upside potential over 45%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $55.08)
Consumer Products

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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly As a retailer of home items priced at $5 or under, FIVE is a good hedge against a slowing economy. Revenues have grown by 7% and recently reported earnings supported a ROE of 24%. Management has already provided guidance that reflects the realities of supply chain and inflationary pressures. Cash reserves are growing, despite the company buying back shares. We recommend a stop loss at $90, looking to achieve $188 -- upside potential over 55%. Yield 0% (Analysts’ price target is $187.72)
specialty stores

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TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly With net sales up almost 15% over the year, this iconic global brand is a TOP PICK. Recently reported earnings beat expectations by over 25% and support a stellar 40% ROE. It trades at 12x earnings, compared to peers at 30x. Management guidance remains online and projects growth continuing through the balance of the year. We recommend a stop loss at $13, looking to achieve $27 -- upside potential over 55%. Yield 2.4% (Analysts’ price target is $27.09)
Consumer Products

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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 30/22, Down 8.2%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with SHEL has triggered its stop at $48. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. This will result in a net investment loss of 3%, when combined with the previous buy recommendations.
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 28/22, Up 12.7%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with PIF is progressing well. To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $16.00) to $18.50.
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PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 23/22, Up 2.8%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with WOR is progressing well. To remain disciplined, we recommend trailing up the stop (from $30) to $39.
steel
COMMENT
We're seeing maturity in this part of the cycle with extreme negative sentiment. Markets have given back over 20% in the first half of 2022. History shows that 6-12 months later are significantly higher. It's naive to call a bottom now, but safe to say that much of the damage has been done. A lot of speculative excesses have gone away as well as those speculators, leaving investors to focus on stocks with earnings.
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