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COMMENT
Are people too euphoric? No. Markets are full of optimism. Though there will be bumps along the road, we continue to make new highs as worldwide vaccine progress continues. US stimulus plans should bridge economies until we reach herd immunity. The IMF has boosted world growth GDP for the second time in 3 months, the strongest annual GDP expansion since 1980. Safe to favour equities over bonds, cyclicals over defensives, and corporate bonds over government ones. Commodity prices should continue to gain traction.
COMMENT
Inflation. One of the risks to consider. We might see 2% inflation, but not excessive. Bond yields have calmed down. Another bump in the road would be if the Covid variants get out of hand. Rapid vaccine rollout in US and parts of Europe will help the reopening trade and cyclical stocks. Though we're not feeling it here in Canada yet.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
Global name. Just hit a new high today, a positive technical indicator. Fee is 46 basis points. He likes the commodity sector, but prefers the industrial metals like copper or aluminum. But lumber's not far behind. Getting a bit overbought, so could be due for a pause. Perhaps buy some and wait for a pullback to buy more.
E.T.F.'s
BUY
HD vs. LOW Staying at home has benefited both. Post-pandemic, they can benefit even further from pent-up demand for larger, professional contracts. LOW has outperformed HD since last March, trading at 20x earnings vs. 24x for HD. LOW has a stronger growth rate, 14% vs. HD at 9%. Both names are great, but LOW gets the edge.
specialty stores
BUY
LOW vs. HD Staying at home has benefited both. Post-pandemic, they can benefit even further from pent-up demand for larger, professional contracts. LOW has outperformed HD since last March, trading at 20x earnings vs. 24x for HD. LOW has a stronger growth rate, 14% vs. HD at 9%. Both names are great, but LOW gets the edge.
misc industrial products
