N/A
Market. The markets are finally doing well. CM-T is a day late and a dollar short. If you compare to the others it is truly underperforming. Most every bank follows the same strategy. But CM-T has never put the puck in the net. It may be now the one to buy as management has spoken about getting their act together. He loves the banks. He thinks banks in Canada are underpriced. They can go a lot higher. His favourite bank is NA-T. The markets are discounting a lot of the negative stuff we are worried about. For markets to go higher you need an accommodative fed (check), you need profits to go higher and he thinks we are seeing turnarounds in PMI and industrial data (check), and finally you need China and the US to at least have lunch together. We may get half of phase one.
HOLD
He does not like the performance. He bought it in 2015 with the expectation that they would resume their dividend increase trend but the stock went nowhere. It is hard for him to recommend it for growth.
BUY
He has owned it since 2013. He had said that the business was so good even though it traded at a high multiple he just went for it and it is only at that same multiple today. If you stick with high quality companies, you should do well. He would buy here for new clients.
DON'T BUY
He does not follow energy companies any more. He won't invest because they can't control the price of oil.
COMMENT
Warrant Buffet never throws in the towel – he does not sell anything. He sold this. The company has revenue growth in decline, the balance sheet is getting worse and they are propping up the stock by share buybacks. They acquired Red Hat at a ridiculous multiple. IBM is so far behind AMZN-Q in Cloud.
HOLD
They have not delivered on organic revenue growth. It's on his hold list for now. Management has said they will get back to organic revenue growth. The thesis has yet to work.
BUY
He used to own it. It is a great business. It looks kind of expensive for the growth you are getting so he would not be in a rush to buy it.
BUY
Railroads have seen declining traffic with the uncertainty between US and China. His clients own CNR-T. This is the toll road business. (Analysts’ price target is $180.00)
BUY
It is a core holding for him. It started picking up when we got good vibes about China/US talks. Buy it now if you plan to hold it for any length of time.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 07/19, Up 13%) They made skiing a growing and flourishing business. With the epic pass, it is a growth business. It is a great opportunity to own one of the premier companies in the world with a moat around it.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 07/19, Up 18%) Experiential Consumerism. They have the most exposure to hotels outside of North America. As more people travel, they will need more hotels. The company is trading at a deep discount to its competitors. They keep buying back stock. One day they will get acquired.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 07/19, Up 34%) 10 million subscribers to their streaming service. They will start by losing money on this for the first couple of years. It is the highest quality company he can own. It's international.
HOLD
It has done so much better than he would have thought. The market is looking for safe investments; companies that don't disappoint. He would not buy here. There is nothing wrong with the name. (Analysts’ price target is $127.00)
WATCH
Kudos to the management for selling off businesses and paying down debt. It may be something investor should look at again.
BUY
The iPhone 11 is a smashing success and the stock is up 70%. The market under-priced it. It should now trade at a Microsoft-like multiple.