Short-seller Muddy Waters is about a specific legal case in progress. Strong franchise in Asia, but what's hurting them is their John Hancock franchise in the U.S. with a low ROE. Have a strong asset management business. MFC must deal with Hancock--can't sell it but must improve ROE. Management is slowly doing that. Now is a good buying opportunity with a good yield. Could take time.
They make beautiful cars, but Musk has been inconsistent and are burning a lot of cash. Musk needs somebody who can actually run a car business. Musk is a visionary, but he needs to run a business, like Steve Jobs at Apple needed somebody. He will likely do an equity issue and dilute the stock. If Tesla keeps missing numbers, competitors will slowly catch up.
A top investment bank in the world. New CEO needs to talk about the company more, but investment banks should do well in volatility. What's hurt Goldman is that its retail side if weak and are only now slowly going into that area and seeing decent growth. Beware: there's a lot of volatility in investment banking and they don't have retail to fall back on. A good brand to own.
Hard to value Netflix. They have pricing power and dominate the growing streaming sector. Good market share in the U.S. and growing share outside U.S. It's all about the content they produce, which eats up their cash flow. It'll be volatile. Young people who use Netflix share their passwords, so that's an issue. Netflix has to deal with this. But their brand is strong and the shift to streaming away from TV is definitely on their side.
Bank of America vs. Citigroup Prefers BAC. Citigroup is cheaper though. But BAC has better opportunities with a strong banking franchise in the U.S; their Merill Lynch franchise is also good. Trading at 1.1x book that should grow. Citirgroup is reducing costs and technology will drive growth here. Can do only small acquisitions now, not large, though regulations are easing. Citi trades at a lower multiple, but BAC holds more opportunity.
Bank of America vs. Citigroup Prefers BAC. Citigroup is cheaper though. But BAC has better opportunities with a strong banking franchise in the U.S; their Merill Lynch franchise is also good. Trading at 1.1x book that should grow. Citirgroup is reducing costs and technology will drive growth here. Can do only small acquisitions now, not large, though regulations are easing. Citi trades at a lower multiple, but BAC holds more opportunity.
Likes it. They bought Lehman, which had investment banking but was really a bond house, so Dodd-Frank caused a lot of capital issues and restrictions. New management is doing a good job by sticking with investment banking and have a great retail franchise in the UK, and they exited businesses around the world that didn't work out. They're going all the right things, though Brexit creates uncertainty. Great credit card business. It will do well, but have to get past Brexit early next year.
The big issue is how they deal with people use FB to subvert elections. Will this have an effect on their next numbers? Also, how do they monetize Instagram? Some management turmoil here. Also FB usage is down, though Instagram use is up. Google is easier to understand from an online ad perspective.
He wished he had bought it. A global name and they're moving into countries where people use less cash. A great story. It's never been cheap. 30x forward earnings even during the current pullback. Buy it. The one risk is there are many players moving into fintech. Visa should still benefit from that and continue to do well.
Trades at 9x earnings. The Aetna deal with likely be approved soon, being a vertical integration in the healthcare sector. The only question is can they integrate successfully? (2.7%, Analysts' price target: $88.14)