DON'T BUY

Trying to monetize their existing producing assets and become an exploration company. Is there a buyer for these assets in Columbia? People have been selling the stock because this is a very significant shift.

BUY

Is an undervalued Permian producer. Have had some boomer wells in their Balkan play. Should beat their Q2 and raise guidance. Is projecting a $25-$30 stock price. This is only one of the three US stocks he owns now.

COMMENT

Cash flow is being crimped and contraction of demand. Nobody wants to own pressure pumper stocks now. May do well if take a 2 year view. He would have a zero exposure in the US.

SELL

One of the better US pumpers with respect to balance sheet. They are generating free cash flow. There is no catalyst to buy this stock. More reasons to own Canadian than any US pressure pumpers. Would sell this and buy Trican.

COMMENT

Trican Well Services (TCW-T) vs. Trinidad Drilling (TDG-T). Trinidad is still going through strategic alternatives. The founder quit suddenly. Trinidad still has a large exposure to the Permian, so this is a detractor. Trican is pure play Canada and should work in its favour. He would take Trican over Trinidad

COMMENT

Trican Well Services (TCW-T) vs. Trinidad Drilling (TDG-T). Trinidad is still going through strategic alternatives. The founder quit suddenly. Trinidad still has a large exposure to the Permian, so this is a detractor. Trican is pure play Canada and should work in its favour. He would take Trican over Trinidad

COMMENT

Is in the penalty box. Has not reliably hit guidance. Until they show they can hit guidance, lack of confidence will remain. He thinks Q2 will be a slight miss. He thinks they should buy back shares.

TOP PICK

He is incredibly bullish on oil. Meg offers the highest leverage in cash flow relative to oil price. They are a 100% pure play heavy oil producer. Meg offers massive leverage. Stock is down 16% this week. Sees over 100% upside if $80 oil. (Analysts’ price target is $11.17)

TOP PICK

Merger is not popular with Raging River shareholders. However, Baytex shareholders are saying it is a wonderful deal. Have added a free cash flow machine in their Viking asset. This name has been beaten down by Raging River shareholders. The deal gets voted on mid August. At $70 oil he has a $7.00 target and at $80 oil he has a $10.00 target. That is 60% to 130% upside. (Analysts’ price target is $6.00)

TOP PICK

They are the number two in Canada. Should be able to monetize some assets and should be debt free. The name is trading at just over 2 times EBITA. At $70 oil, he sees a 102% upside. At $80 oil, he sees an upside of 172%. (Analysts’ price target is $2.41)

COMMENT

Market. Shift in politics moving to the right. We are seeing some barriers. Green economy has grown tremendously and moved toward the mainstream. Interesting to watch Trump with coal, and Doug Ford moving backwards on green energy projects. This is a short-term slowdown. Long-term, tremendous investment opportunities.

COMMENT

Big companies moving to clean energy. Car industry is going full steam ahead. Every major car company is moving on hybrid vehicles, and this is a major change. Easy to get caught up in short-term political cycles. Right now, he’s looking for opportunities that are a little undervalued. Long term, no question that this is the direction the economy’s going. Not a question of if the economy will change, but how quickly it will. Tread carefully for now, over next election cycle. Emerging markets like China and India are investing in green energy. Bit of a lost opportunity for Canada. We had been at the forefront, but now we’re taking three steps backward.

BUY

Likes it. Largest of the renewable energy utilities yieldcos in Canada. Because it has the backing of BAM.T it’s a bit of a safer place, especially if you’re worried about short-term political risk. Own tremendous amount of hydro, solar, wind power. Own two thermal plants that burn nat gas, so not completely fossil free. More of a dividend play. Potential for growth as assets continue to appreciate. Excited about ability to play globally. Comfortable owning for long term.

COMMENT

Can wind power be a profitable part of your portfolio? Absolutely. Renewable energy is a play on long-term contracts. Costs are coming down dramatically. Though in Ontario, there won’t be any new contracts. Tremendous opportunity, becoming competitive with traditional systems. Look to improving energy storage to capture wind when it blows at off-peak times.

BUY

Great play, 100% renewable energy. Likes it. Ability to grow as well as generate a nice yield. Few places to get this nice of a dividend without taking on carbon risk. Bit more of a growth play. Yield of 5%.