Today, John Zechner commented about whether CCT-T, DIS-N, TDG-T, VRX-T, CSCO-Q, BCE-T, LPX-N, AC-T, DB-N, LNR-T, TRP-T, BA-N, T-T, MSFT-Q, CVE-T, TSLA-Q, GIB.A-T, CS-T, ATH-T, NA-T, OSB-N, CNQ-T, BB-T, KHC-Q, SLF-T, BAC-N, DE-N are stocks to buy or sell.
Likes this. Volatile, but has a lot of low hanging fruit. There are metric valuations that can be improved upon. It’s not going to be in the handset business, but more in software on the security side. New CEO is reinventing the company. There is still a massive Short position in the US, which is going to have to be covered at some point.
All the banks had a decent run, but this one has lagged and is still cheaper than the rest. Getting a discount multiple. Have been penalized because of negative views on their capital market activities, but mostly because they have been more of a regional bank than a national one. Feels they are getting around this. He is comfortable with the valuation, growth, and amongst the top 6 banks this would be his favourite in terms of relative potential returns. 4% dividend.
(A Top Pick July 18/13. Down 4.42%.) Still waiting for the $1.3 billion to come through from Petro China for the Dover oil sands. The longer the time goes on, the less people believe the money is actually coming in. Even without that money coming in, he feels the stock is worth more than where it is trading currently. Light oil assets alone are worth $7-$8.
This is a tough one. He wouldn’t be Short the stock right now, even though valuations are through the roof. They produce as many cars right now in a year as General Motors (GM-N) produces in a day, and yet the stocks are valued at the same level. This is the future of automobiles, so how willing are you to pay up on a valuation basis to own this right now. They have generated some profits now, but if you start pulling away the subsidies and government grants, they are clearly not profitable. Thinks that people are going to be willing to pay up for a long time for the potential that they have.
Markets. Expects the 2 day sell off is the start of the correction that we have all heard of. Has been positioning himself in the past couple of weeks as negatively as he has been since 2011. Has a net Short in his hedge fund. He is still a long-term Bull and the glass is half full, but it seems so extended in the short term for a variety of reasons. It just seems that it is ahead of itself, and with political actions seems to be breaking down a little. Thinks we are overdue for a correction. His worry is that everybody is expecting 5%-10%, but sometimes these things gain momentum and it wouldn’t surprise him to see the market off 15%-20%. The safest place is to have cash on the sidelines. Some of the cyclical sectors are starting to act a little better. Europe growth is slowing down, but emerging economies and China seem to be doing well. Thinks gold is all right in an environment like this. Feels the highest risk sectors are energy, technology and social network. The earnings are sort of winding down now, so what is the next level?